— The tale of the 14th and 15th ranked PPG (4pts per pass TD) QBs YTD…since Week-3:
Tony Romo: (5-0 record) 2.4 TDs/0.6 INT with 266.4 yards pass per game (all games with two or more passing TDs)
Eli Manning: (3-2 record) 2.2 TDs/0.2 INT with 226.6 yards per game (all but one game with two or more passing TDs)
Eli Manning less the PHI crushing: (3-1 record) 2.8 TD/0.3 INT with 245.5 yards per game (all games with two or more passing TDs)
As Dallas has hit its stride, and as the NYG offense has gone from completely inept…to ept…Romo and Manning are top-10 Fantasy QBs week in and out. Given their schedule layouts, and recent trends…it’s not crazy to pair the two of them up, playing matchups…and have one top-5 Fantasy QB amalgamation on your hands. It’s not a ‘crazy’ theory, but it seems like it…
— I’m more inclined to buy the Odell Beckham Jr. (4 rec. for 34 yards and 2 TDs on 6 targets) uprising than…let’s say like the Davante Adams, Jarvis Landry spikes. OBJ has a personal, long-time history with Eli, and the Mannings…and now with Victor Cruz out, and no other great WRs of note…he’s going to get 8-10 targets a game soon.
*Now we know why the Giants made this ridiculous pick in the 2014 NFL Draft (ridiculous in the valuation standpoint). I’m not sure why there is a show/series on NFL Network chronicling the Giants scouting process for the 2014 NFL Draft. All they had to do was interview Eli, and the series would be done in 5-10 minutes.
It will be interesting to see how Beckham does the next few weeks, as he is a physically gifted, but very raw/unstable WR…and will draw top coverage.
— Andre Williams (18 carries for 51 yards, 3 targets) had another 15+ carry and less than 70 yards rushing game…just like Rashad Jennings in all but one of his 2014 efforts. The Giants O-Line is really not good. You cannot count heavily on either of their RBs ahead. The Jennings explosion against Houston in Week-3, was like two games worth of carries in one. The 176 yards rushing total is messing with everyone’s perceptions. Until something changes, any NY Giants RB has to be considered a marginal/sketchy start unless the matchup is a gift.
— Every metric I am looking at says, ‘Danger’…but you have to take the Cowboys-DST somewhat seriously ahead. They face Colt McCoy, Carson Palmer, Blake Bortles over the next three weeks. The Cowboys could seriously be 9-1 after Week-10. My first crushing preseason over/under win total wager loss in a couple of years. They have four potential losses late, so I need them to cough up 1-2 of these next three games. However, The matchups for the team, and for their DST the next three weeks is way in their favor.
— I don’t think Gavin Escobar (3 rec. for 65 yards and 2 TDs on 3 targets) is ready to become ‘a thing’. This is a touch of Joseph Fauria circa-2013…the big, forgotten guy/TE, scores a TD(s); YEAH! Escobar is better than Fauria, but he is still a very slow, unathletic TE…BUT he does have good hands and great size. He is useful. If he were to become a full starter, then you could drop Jared Cook and Clay Harbor desperation each week. Escobar is not unseating Jason Witten (2 rec. for 27 yards on 2 targets)…yet.
— It’s easy for IDP Fantasy rankers to diss Prince Amukamara (7 tackles, 6 solo) among all DBs week-to-week, because ‘default mode’ always tilts towards havey tackles for scoring…and thus a Safety over a Cornerback is more prized, but Amukamara is tracking as the #2 DB in PPG YTD (using Fantasy Pros scoring). He has been a well-above average tackler all year, and has had five games with two PDs in each game…plus three picks. If anyone drops him in the BYE week…take heed.
– R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM
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Category Archives: New York Giants
Twitter @FFMetrics I am beyond fascinated with the Philadelphia Eagles story this year. Going into the game, most football people thought the NY Giants were now a runaway train of success, and they continued to downplay Philly. You saw the game…it was a joke. Philly crushed the Giants. You saw the Philly defense I have […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics Atlanta deserves every loss they get. On the road, a weak Atlanta team led 20-10. Antone Smith had just taken a screen for the 74-yard TD. This game looked well at hand. They never gave the ball to Smith again in the game. 20+ minutes of no touches to end the game. The […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics I felt pretty satisfied after this game…and amused. The entire week’s lead-in was a mass football media build up of Kirk Cousins (19-33 for 257 yards, 1 TD/4 INT) as Washington savior, coming off his 400_ yard effort against Philly. I was a lone voice not only saying ‘beware’, but that there was […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics I thought, as I had written, that the Giants offense had made a turn in the 2nd-half of their Week-2 game with Arizona… This 30-17 win over Houston wasn’t as close as the score indicated. Most are focused on the nice improvement for NYG, but I think the hidden story here is: The Texans […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics I thought this would be a boring FF-game to watch back, but to my surprise it was filled with little nuggets that I think you’ll find interesting and useful for Week-3+. There were a few things in this game that totally flipped from the usual narrative…and may change it permanently. There were also […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics — You know it’s an exciting FF-game analysis when Larry Donnell (5 rec. for 56 yards and 1 TD on 8 targets) leads the show. You have to kinda-sorta take Donnell semi-seriously for FF-2014 now. Why? (1) He is starting for NYG. (2) The TEs below him on the depth chart are terrible […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics This was the best game of the 2014 preseason. I’m glad I got to watch it. It was a preview, nay a showdown of what will be two of the best QBs in the NFL in the 2017 season. What a treat. – Jimmy Garoppolo (22-42 for 284 yards, 1 TD/1 INT) is […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics This is going to be QB heavy, so just a few non-QB notes first… — I’m not sure why everyone thinks Jace Amaro (4 rec. for 37 yards and 1 TD on 4 targets) is having problems with the offense or with drops. He looked smooth in most everything he did in this […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics OK, four preseason games for NYG so far, and Ryan Nassib has thrown for 5 TD/0 INT, and led three fourth quarter comeback wins. …and Eli Manning looks worse every single game, and that’s saying something because he was awful to start. Anyone in the NFL care to take out a pencil and jot down a […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics Pro Football Spot asked if I would write about some unconventional, deeper sleeper prospects, which has turned into a five-part mini-series (will be one QB, RB, WR, TE, and a wildcard). None of these names will probably catch any FFM/CFM readers by surprise, but I’ll try to have one zinger in the five for you. […].. Continue reading→