— I am shocked by Odell Beckham’s (8 rec. for 148 yards and 2 TDs on 12 targets) massive splash onto the NFL scene…on a number of levels.
1) How is it that an under six-foot WR can come in as a cold rookie, confound opponents, and transform a stagnant offense? The last time we saw a young, under six-foot WR come in and splash this hard was…was…NY Giants WR Victor Cruz.
Per game numbers in their ‘debut’ seasons for each Cruz and Beckham (and ignoring Cruz’s first two 2011 games where he barely played)…
7.2 rec. for 101.8 yards and 1.0 TDs on 9.9 targets per game = Beckham (2014)
5.7 rec. for 108.5 yards and 0.6 TDs on 9.1 targets per game = Cruz (2011)
Cruz had 80+ receiving yards in a game 11-times in a 14 game stretch where he splashed onto the scene in 2011. He then had his next eleven 80+ yard efforts over 2+ seasons. Blazing, almost irrational starts/stretches tend to reel back in as defenses adjust.
I’m not sure when Beckham will get reeled in to become a more normal ‘great’ producer (instead of this ‘amazing’ producer right now), but it’s likely to come. It always does. I’m just fascinated by fast he has launched into success. I mocked him (really mocked the Giants) in the offseason for being taken too high in the NFL Draft, and I still believe that (WRs should not be drafted that high), but the Giants could have done worse with the pick.
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2) How bad a QB is Zach Mettenberger? How bad a coach is Les Miles? How bad a coordinator is Cam Cameron at LSU?
LSU circa-2013 had Odell Beckham, Jarvis Landry, Jeremy Hill, and Alfred Blue…and went 10-3 in 2013. Mettenberger threw 11 TD passes in eight SEC games that year (with a 5-3 record)–just 11 TDs in eight games with all that offensive firepower!
— This should probably be the game that gets Jeff Fisher fired (it likely won’t). All that defensive talent, playing hot as a pistol of late, and yet the shaky, rookie-led Giants come in and drop 37 points on the Rams…at St. Louis…with a chance for the Rams to win, and then still hope to finish the year with a respectable 8-8 record. All that’s gone. The Giants played inspired, and with ‘hope’…St. Louis slept through parts of this game.
The Rams-DST carried many of us through FF Weeks 12-15, but dropped an egg on us in Week 16. It’s maddening, but many may not have made that far without the STL-DST run up leading into this. That’s how I try to console myself on it, anyway.
— Thanks, Kenny Britt! I ramble on about you weeks ago, how you are a hot sleeper down the stretch…and then you do nothing. I give up on you, and you drop 9 catches for 103 yards on 11 targets in this game.
I do not fully trust Kenny Britt heading into 2015. He’s had so many false starts, and unrealized ’hopes’…it’s hard to get excited going forward. Especially, given the weak state of Rams QB play.
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— Andre Williams (26 carries for 110 yards, 1 target) has two 100+ yard rushing game in the past three weeks. Rashad Jennings has one 100+ game all season, as does Jamaal Charles.
You have to love Andre for non-PPR going into 2015. He’s going to be a 10+ TD a season guy for the foreseeable future. If a new coach hits NYG…then Rashad Jennings will no longer be a threat to his touches.
— NYG’s defense is improving some as they infuse more rookies into the mix…
IDP rookie LB Devon Kennard (4 tackles) has 5.7 tackles and 0.8 sacks per game the last three weeks.
IDP rookie DE Kerry Winn (3 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) has 5.0 tackles, 0.5 sacks, 0.5 INTs the last two games.
– R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM
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Category Archives: New York Giants
Twitter @FFMetrics — The top question I am getting this week is…”I have to pick between X-player(s) and Jordan Matthews for WR/3rdWR/Flex. Who should I pick?” *I promise, this is going to be related to NYG-WAS…kinda, just hold on… Don’t get freaked out by the Jordan Matthews FF-egg last week. It was an odd game […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics Five losses in-a-row. Remember five weeks ago when the world proclaimed the Giants ‘back’? Seven losses now on the season, all but one of them by 10 or more points. With this masterpiece, Eli Manning (22-45 for 280 yards, 1 TD/5 INT) has now thrown for 36 TDs and 38 INTs in the […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics — The tale of the 14th and 15th ranked PPG (4pts per pass TD) QBs YTD…since Week-3: Tony Romo: (5-0 record) 2.4 TDs/0.6 INT with 266.4 yards pass per game (all games with two or more passing TDs) Eli Manning: (3-2 record) 2.2 TDs/0.2 INT with 226.6 yards per game (all but one […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics I am beyond fascinated with the Philadelphia Eagles story this year. Going into the game, most football people thought the NY Giants were now a runaway train of success, and they continued to downplay Philly. You saw the game…it was a joke. Philly crushed the Giants. You saw the Philly defense I have […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics Atlanta deserves every loss they get. On the road, a weak Atlanta team led 20-10. Antone Smith had just taken a screen for the 74-yard TD. This game looked well at hand. They never gave the ball to Smith again in the game. 20+ minutes of no touches to end the game. The […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics I felt pretty satisfied after this game…and amused. The entire week’s lead-in was a mass football media build up of Kirk Cousins (19-33 for 257 yards, 1 TD/4 INT) as Washington savior, coming off his 400_ yard effort against Philly. I was a lone voice not only saying ‘beware’, but that there was […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics I thought, as I had written, that the Giants offense had made a turn in the 2nd-half of their Week-2 game with Arizona… This 30-17 win over Houston wasn’t as close as the score indicated. Most are focused on the nice improvement for NYG, but I think the hidden story here is: The Texans […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics I thought this would be a boring FF-game to watch back, but to my surprise it was filled with little nuggets that I think you’ll find interesting and useful for Week-3+. There were a few things in this game that totally flipped from the usual narrative…and may change it permanently. There were also […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics — You know it’s an exciting FF-game analysis when Larry Donnell (5 rec. for 56 yards and 1 TD on 8 targets) leads the show. You have to kinda-sorta take Donnell semi-seriously for FF-2014 now. Why? (1) He is starting for NYG. (2) The TEs below him on the depth chart are terrible […].. Continue reading→
Twitter @FFMetrics This was the best game of the 2014 preseason. I’m glad I got to watch it. It was a preview, nay a showdown of what will be two of the best QBs in the NFL in the 2017 season. What a treat. – Jimmy Garoppolo (22-42 for 284 yards, 1 TD/1 INT) is […].. Continue reading→