Fantasy Football Metrics

New York Giants

2014 Week-6 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Eagles vs. Giants (10/5/2014)

Twitter @FFMetrics

I am beyond fascinated with the Philadelphia Eagles story this year. Going into the game, most football people thought the NY Giants were now a runaway train of success, and they continued to downplay Philly. You saw the game…it was a joke. Philly crushed the Giants. You saw the Philly defense I have been crowing about…8 sacks. Several other near-miss sacks. The Eagles’ CBs just locked down the Giants WRs. The Eagles are pretty much doing whatever they want to do…missing their best defensive player, and missing half their O-Line. They totally destroy the NY Giants, and the story the following day was…”What happened to the Giants?” and “Man, the Giants got to block better.”

Was anyone worried about the Giants’ blocking going into this game? No. It was an Eli/Giants love-fest pre-game. Old-school philosophy met new-school, and old-school got rolled. The Eagles are literally toying with teams before our very eyes, and all we hear is “These defensive turnovers can’t keep up,” and “This defense is a sieve,” and “The offense is inefficient.” Guess what’s going to happen when the Eagles get back to full strength, and start hitting a stride offensively?

This is the best team in football when at full strength. However, all you will hear this week is about Dallas. The media is actually doing the Eagles a favor but not jumping on the wagon. The crowded shuttle bus for the Cowboys will eventually flatten Dallas. Not that the ‘Boys aren’t a good football team, but wow…let’s reel it in a little this week! Actually, don’t.

Philadelphia doesn’t exist in the mainstream football media. Every power rating has Philly not #1 and not #2…and lucky to be in their top-5 on occasion. 


 — I don’t think Odell Beckham Jr. (2 rec. for 28 yards on 4 targets) is ready to be Victor Cruz 2.0 right now…not even close. I mean, you have to take a look to see off waivers, etc., but he is a very unpolished WR in a timing passing game with an often harried QB. I’m not sure this will be what every one FF-thinks it will be. You’re not crazy to want to see the cards revealed, but if he goes two catches for 31 yards and no TDs next week…there will be panic.

 — 6’4″/215-pound undrafted free agent rookie WR Corey Washington (DNP) is the deep-sleeper to watch off the Cruz injury. Many of you watched him tear up the preseason. He may waltz in, and be starting in 2-3-4 weeks. See our ‘deep sleeper’ post from today for a little more detail on Washington. Those in a deeper league, this is an early entry point before/if he becomes a thing…and he has a story waiting to be national hysteria, as soon as he catches a TD pass…plus it’s a ‘NY’ player, so added hype awaits.

 —  Nick Foles (21-34 for 248 yards, 2 TD/2 INT) looked very well in this game except for about two stupid passes…both resulting in picks. Foles is flirting with danger a little to much now week-to-week, trying to throw passes into impossible situations. It’s an arrogance that I mentioned last week. I’ve not seen him be so ‘out there.’ I’m used to seeing this from the other young guys, like Thursday Night Football when Andrew Luck had about three pick-sixes dropped by the Texans, but I’m not used to seeing Foles be so cavalier.

The Eagles O-Line is coming back, and you saw the run game perk up…if a bunch of O-Line injuries and no running game means Nick Foles goes for 250+ and 2 TDs a game, then he might start clicking for 300+/3 TDs again in the next few weeks, as all the problems to the O-Line resolve, but until we see that turn, he is a fringe top 8-10 Fantasy QB week-to-week right now.

If you remove the bizarre Week-4 game where Philly scored all those D-TDs, allowing the 49ers to dominate time of possession, Foles is scoring at a top 9-12 PPG pace for Fantasy Football…ahead of Brees and behind Matt Ryan. Foles was a zero for one game, other than that he’s been OK-to-pretty good overall, but not top-5 FF-material since his first three games.

 — I’ll buy all the Jeremy Maclin (2 rec. for 16 yards on 3 targets) stock you want to dump. Fantasy owners generally hate Philly-related stocks because of the media blind eye. Maclin is being inexplicably discounted for some Fantasy GMs after this game…try to take advantage of it if you can. This was a game where Philly just sat on NYG, and ran clock late. Maclin wasn’t needed. In the prior five games, Maclin had ten or more targets in each game (11.4 targets per game Weeks 1-5). Make a redraft play for Maclin, if his value is down, if you can.

 — Jordan Matthews (4 rec. for 50 yards on 6 targets) is gaining more and more traction. To watch Philly set him up on bubble screens, and allow this athletic, elusive 6’3″, 215+ WR to weave through smaller DBs is impressive. Matthews looks like he has added five pounds of muscle…and I knew that was coming because he is a workhorse.

Again, I’m an regular-guy idiot…and I could see Matthews’ dedication to his craft at the Senior Bowl week. You could also have looked at his college performance numbers, as they jump off the page. The Jaguars coaches got to work with him all week, and then drafted Marqise Lee instead. The worst football words in the world to be spoken…”The Jags really like this guy” (see: Storm Johnson).

Matthews is not ready to star just yet. He’s not a go-to WR just yet…however, he is getting more and more touches against the lesser coverage by the defenses (as they focus on Maclin and Ertz), and he is advancing toward a reliable WR/flex play with upside ahead. Over the past four weeks: 7.3 targets per game for 5.0 catches and 43.0 yards per game (and 0.50 TDs).

 — Andre Williams (16 carries for 58 yards) is a bigger, badder version of Branden Oliver…run straight-ahead, and see what happens. Only, Williams is physically massive, and much faster than Oliver. Still, the holes weren’t there for him in this game, and he really couldn’t get much into the 2nd-level. The Eagles have a good run defense…so Williams might work better vs. Dallas this week.

 — I thought Larry Donnell (1 rec. for 6 yards on 2 targets) was a ‘great young TE’, Mr. Cowherd (whom I love)? I’m never sure what team Colin is referring to with how much he ‘loves the Giants’ weapons, especially ‘their two great TEs’. Is he talking about Adrien Robinson (1 rec. for 29 yards on 2 targets? Colin Cowherd is excellent at assessing football, but he got too hot on the Giants, and still has a blind spot on Philly.

 — Ryan Nassib (4-5 for 60 yards) is completing 80% of his passes this season…


R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

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Category Archives: New York Giants

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