Fantasy Football Metrics

Cleveland Browns

2014 Week-7 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Jags vs. Browns (10/19/2014)

Twitter @FFMetrics

– Just a quick note for anyone bemoaning the Browns-DST recommendation for Week-7: What else do you want? (1) They had three picks and two sacks! Yes, you want to see a shutout delivered, but the guy NFL analysts spent the entire week crying for the Browns to pay as a true franchise QB, Brian Hoyer, played like…Brian Hoyer…and was terrible, and had a pick giving JAC the ball in the red-zone, and there was a CLE fumble that did the same. Don’t blame the Browns-DST because the offense chose this week to be inept. (2) What other DST would you have liked? There were no defensive TDs scored this week THU-SUN…unless I missed one. All DSTs disappointed.

That message above was me yelling at me…

Should you play them against OAK this week? I’d say so. All you really want is a juiced up chance at a bad/weak QB with higher odds for a pick-six, hopefully combined with a weak running game. You’re as good with the Browns-DST as anything else for Week-8.

– I know. You’d have rather had the Jaguars-DST from Sunday! Six-points/no TDs by the Browns against the Jags is inexcusable for a ‘team on the rise’. If the Browns make Brian Hoyer (16-41 for 215 yards, 0 TD/1 INT) their franchise QB (and they will), it will not be wise. He’s better than Johnny Manziel, but not a QB you should move forward with into the future. You rent Hoyer, not own. 

Hoyer has completed less than 50% of his passes the past three games (45 of 95), and is barely 55% on the season. The Browns are on the watch list for DST starts against…because of Hoyer.

If you were getting excited by the improving Jags-DST, you should have killed that noise when IDP ILB Paul Posluszny (12 tackles, 5 solo, 1 sack) was lost for the season in this game. I mention it because most will see backup J.T. Thomas (7 tackles, 6 solo) listed as the new starter, and wonder if he’ll be Posluszny 2.0. He won’t be. The name to watch here is the Jags rookie poach from Jets: Jeremiah George. If he gets a shot…watchout. He will be a number-grabber on tackles. That dude is going 150% all the time. He’s not Ryan Shazier or Paul Worrilow or Jamie Collins talented, but he’s pretty good/decent.

– I have to say, I was satisfied to see Denard Robinson (22 carries for 127 yards and 1 TD, 1 target) take control of the starting job (at least for this week). I had been howling about him all preseason. Now, a pay day…finally. I also thought this was a stupid draft pick by the Jags, and still do. RBs are a dime-a-dozen at his size, and Denard is not great; he’s just better than anyone on the Jags until Toby Gerhart gets 100%…and then it is a split.

Fall in love with Denard, but not too much…the problem all season has been a terrible O-Line, and an offense that cannot get close to scoring position on its own. He’s the starter now, so that’s FF-something.

– The past two weeks I thought the Jags run-defense was really looking good, but I didn’t expect them to totally squash the Browns running attack like they did. I’m a Ben Tate (16 carries for 36 yards, 1 rec. for -2 yards on 2 targets) buyer in a non-PPR, a little cooler in a PPR. He’s getting 15+ carries in this offense each week, and I don’t think he’ll lose a job to Isaiah Crowell (7 carries for 18 yards, 1 rec. for 5 yards on 2 targets)…as much as football people want him to, because they love Crowell…because someone told them to in the preseason.

Andrew Hawkins (5 rec. for 112 yards on 9 targets) is a really terrible #1 WR, but until Josh Gordon returns, he is their #1 targeted WR. Speaking of Gordon…I’m not 100% sure Gordon + Hoyer is going to work like a charm right away. More because of Hoyer. I have nothing to base that on, per se. Just a thought that Hoyer is a very flawed passer. I think dump offs to Hawkins suits his skills nicely.

 

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

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Archives

Category Archives: Cleveland Browns

2014 Week-6 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Browns vs. Steelers (10/5/2014)

Twitter @FFMetrics OK, I began the game recap Week-6 sessions with the two teams I interpreted wrong going into Week-6 (Tampa and Minnesota). Now, let me talk about one of the situations I nailed, going back to opening-week. Let me say it again, the Cleveland Browns are one of the top-5 coached/managed teams in the […].. Continue reading→

 

2014 Week-5 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Titans vs. Browns (10/5/2014)

Twitter @FFMetrics  — Bishop Sankey (8 carries for 27 yards, 1 target) is so clearly the best RB on the team…it’s comical. The Titans are employing a RBBC where three & a half RBs are getting about equal time. The offensive snap count for TEN RBs from this game: 22 = Sankey 18 = Greene […].. Continue reading→

 

2014 Week-3 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Browns vs. Ravens (9/21/2014)

Twitter @FFMetrics  — I must get you this info before Week-4 waivers close. For those that picked up the San Diego-DST with us a week ago, in anticipation of the Week-4 matchup with Jacksonville, and the schedule to come.  You might really consider picking up the Browns-DST (on a BYE now) for whatever dud spot […].. Continue reading→

 

2014 Week-2 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Saints vs. Browns (9/14/2014)

Twitter @FFMetrics  —  My main note from this game: Don’t mentally get deflated on Brandin Cooks (3 rec. for 17 yards on 6 targets, 31 yards rushing) because it wasn’t a home run FF-game this week. As the Saints head home for two of next three games…everything is going to perk up on offense. It just does at […].. Continue reading→

 

2014 Week-1 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Browns vs. Steelers (9/7/2014)

Twitter @FFMetrics I’m going to begin this recap with two ostentatious statements…   1) Le’Veon Bell (21 carries for 109 yards and 1 TD, 6 rec. for 88 yards on 7 targets) is a strong candidate for 2014 NFL Offensive MVP, and I would say odds-on favorite to be the #1 Fantasy Football scoring RB this […].. Continue reading→

 

Week-1 Notes from FF Talking Heads This Morning…

 — A lot of chatter about Benny Cunningham pushing Zac Stacy. I want to disbelieve this, because the NFL is rarely radical, but The Computer was also the original Benny Cunningham hype train…so I am biased.   — Two people, including Chris Mortensen, are leaning a break or more for Josh Gordon.  — More and more […].. Continue reading→

 

Should You Take a Flyer On Josh Gordon?

By now, most of you have seen/heard the news that the league is working out new details for raising the ‘limit’ on drug testing results. It makes sense to be in accordance with all the other sports. If they do that, word has been bounced around that Josh Gordon could have his suspension reduced or totally […].. Continue reading→

 

2014 Preseason Week-4 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Browns vs. Bears (8/28/2014)

Twitter @FFMetrics – David Fales (13-24 for 146 yards, 1 TD/1 INT) did well in his full-game start. He has NFL skills. He has enough arm, and the accuracy has always been there. He is not flashing any ‘star’ signs, but he is capable-good. In this game, he was jumpy early, as to be expected, […].. Continue reading→

 

2014 Preseason Week-3 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Rams vs. Browns (8/23/2014)

 Twitter @FFMetrics  — I’m going to assume, like most, that Sam Bradford (4-9 for 77 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) is now all but done in the NFL. I’m sure he’ll give it another college try, but for our Dynasty/Fantasy purposes, I’m done…not that I was heavily invested. The multiply hurt, tend to get hurt again. […].. Continue reading→

 

2014 Preseason Week-2 Dynasty-Fantasy Recap: Browns vs. Redskins (8/18/2014)

Twitter @FFMetrics  — Can you believe that Jonathan Manziel Esquire (7-16 for 65 yards, 1 TD/0 INT) flipped ‘the bird’ on national TV? I, for one, was shocked. It was right out there in public for everyone to see, and now you know ‘the truth’ that had been kept from some of you (not FFM-CFM’ers)… I’m not talking […].. Continue reading→

 

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