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Dynasty-Fantasy Football Analysis – 2017 Preseason Wk 4: Giants v. Patriots

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*Lots of games to cover and moving faster than editors can keep up with, so forgive any typos, etc. 2,000+ word articles on preseason games ain’t easy. Going for quantity over quality to get the news out ASAP.

 

So, this was a great Week 4 preseason game. The crowd was rocking to the very last seconds…the teams both got after it. One of the better preseason efforts you’ll ever see. The Pats took a 7-0 lead, and the next thing you know the Giants were up 34-14 at the half…a 34-7 run. The Patriots then went on a 24-3 run to take the lead back in the second half. The Giants embarked on a final drive with 0:39 seconds left and at their own 25-yard line…the underrated rookie QB Davis Webb (8-14 for 103 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) masterfully drove the team into FG position with the Patriots’ crowd acting like it was the Super Bowl.

A nice win for the Giants, but it got me thinking – are the Giants like secretly one of the five best teams in the NFL? The Giants have absolutely destroyed teams in the first half of their last two games – scoring 29 and 34 points in the first half of their last two games. Not that the preseason matters but NYG toyed with the Jets and brought it to a very deep Patriots team in Week 4…showing their own depth/talent.

Dallas v. NYG is going to be a heavyweight title fight in Week 1…can’t wait!!

 

Fantasy player notes…

— Oddly, in a Week 4 game reserved for future-to-be-released guys…the Giants went with mostly backups to backups BUT Shane Vereen (4-15-0, 3-28-0/3) and Orleans Darkwa (6-40-0, 1-9-0/1) ran for a few series as a tandem.

You know why?

The Giants are prepping for a Vereen-Darkwa backfield.

Paul Perkins is going to lose this starting job by about halftime Sunday, and never be heard from again. Alex Collins is looking at Paul Perkins and wondering why God hates poor Alex. Paul Perkins would not have made the Seahawks roster either…but somehow is the Giants supposed starter. He’ll start Week 1, rotate out with Vereen-Darkwa…and then rotate right out of everything because he’s a mediocre waste of touches. Vereen-Darkwa is a little more worthy of a Super Bowl type team. Paul Perkins starting is a joke.

Speaking of jokes, Wayne Gallman (8-27-0) was drafted on purpose and made the team on purpose does Ben McAdoo like really bland, crappy RBs or what? Where’s Rashad Jennings when you need him to get really dull and wasteful?

 

— And then UDFA rookie WR Travis Rudolph (3-4-60/4) puts on a show…again…and gets cut.

Because the NFL is on top of things, he went unclaimed.

I would argue Travis Rudolph was probably the best, most polished rookie UDFA wide receiver I watched this preseason. Travis Rudolph has to look at Donnel Pumphrey, Laquon Treadwell, and Kevin White and wonder why God has forsaken him as well.

Travis Rudolph should be debated as a starter in the NFL…today, right now…and yet he goes unclaimed through waivers. Unfreaking believable. The Jets who claim everybody, and who suck…watched Rudolph two weeks ago put on a show versus them…they claimed Damore’ea Stringfellow and signed Jeremy Kerley the past few days. The Jets are so bad at football it’s beyond words.

Can anyone that is an NYG fan explain how the hell Roger Lewis made the team and Rudolph didn’t?

 

— In other great UDFA rookie WR news, Austin Carr (3-48-1/3) put on another show in the preseason…and got released. I give the Pats a minor pass for this because they are so loaded it’s hard for them to keep everyone. The Saints grabbed Carr off waivers – and he might be starting for the Saints over Willie Snead by season’s end.

Here’s how good the NFL scouting and all your coveted football analysts are… I mean the following statement with every fiber of my being, with all my years of football experience:

Running an NFL team, you can have John Ross, Mike Williams, and Corey Davis (1st round pick WRs in 2017). I’ll take Travis Rudolph, Austin Carr, and Keelan Cole and whip your ass for 10% of the cost. I’ll build that WR wall and you’ll pay for it.

It’s almost becoming if the mainstream endorses a college WR as a first rounder…you should just assume those WRs suck – that’s how bad they are at football analysis and scouting. Go look at the 1st-round pick WRs of the past three years. The guys on the list haven’t just underperformed…they’re almost all busts already.

Phillip Dorsett, former 1st-round pick was just dumped to the Pats for nothing after two years.

 

— UDFA rookie TE Jacob Hollister (4-26-1-/4) had another A.J. Derby moment for the preseason and forced his way onto the Pats roster. He has looked terrific this preseason but hard to see when he’ll be relevant for fantasy on this team.

Might be years.

Might get traded like Derby did when they can’t keep him on the roster due to other needs.

 

Jacoby Brissett (28-39 for 341 yards, 4 TD/1 INT, 4-29-1) went wire-to-wire and put up 5 TDs…and got traded to the Colts soon after. The Pats couldn’t waste a roster spot here.

Brissett will be starting for the Colts Week 3, if the team starts 0-2…and they likely will.

If the Colts go 0-4/0-5…Andrew Luck might just take a powder for the season…and then Brissett is the new Tyrod Taylor-ish, only worse, QB in the AFC.

 

 

 –rc@fantasyfootballmetrics.com

 

It’s almost time…two more weeks of preseason games and then ‘it’s on’. We’ll be there with you the entire way as usual.

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— A few surprises planned throughout the season, as always – for subscribers…you get the point…

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There are plenty of people fighting on how to rank/project a Tyrell Williams or Cameron Meredith or Rex Burkhead, etc. week-to-week…once they’ve ‘arrived’. YOU NEED TO KNOW about Tyrell Williams two years prior – you need me complaining about the Chargers cutting him in 2015. You want me calling the Bears management idiots two years ago because Cameron Meredith was DeAndre Hopkins sitting on their bench. You love when we see Tyreek Hill emerge before everyone else does – and how to properly value him as it was happening last year. Who cares what football analysts have Antonio Brown ranked #1 or #2 or #3…he’s good…we all get it.

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I started Fantasy Football Metrics because the accepted football scouting was getting me nowhere in fantasy. I am passionate about player and data evaluations. If you need a new source for your dynasty, IDP, and/or redraft fantasy football profiteering – consider letting us be that source.

Worst case, I’m a wildly entertaining writer…I’m going to book the equivalent of 5-10 U.S. novel’s worth of material between September and January. Please consider your subscription part of my savings for robotic arm reconstruction surgery after each season, a surgery no longer covered by my medical insurance provider.

Good Luck in fantasy 2017! Less luck needed if you’re an FFM subscriber…ask anyone, but no one will speak of it. There’s a reason…

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— R.C. Fischer

 

 

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics, and College Football Metrics. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.”

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