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Dynasty-Fantasy Football: Training Camp Notes 8/10/17

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Dynasty-Fantasy Football: Training Camp Notes 8/8/17

*A daily look at things I am hearing and seeing from training camp contacts and/or tape I’ve been sent or just comments from news reports. As always, if you are attending camps and have some info to share with the FFM universe, please send in for me to consider.

**Forgive any typos, etc. Moving fast on this with no proof by an editor. Getting the info out fast is more key than Pulitzer-worthy.

 

Just a couple of camp notes, and a lot of peeks at the big night of preseason games this evening. First a few camp notes…

Devonta Freeman is now the highest paid running back in the NFL. Allow me to summarize my thoughts on this through a 7-second video…

 

 

The Falcons made a split backfield, nonspecial, 2nd most talented RB on the team, a guy there are a hundred just like, running back the highest paid guy in the league. Sweet.

 

— I keep seeing and hearing how hot Tyreek-Tyrell-Meredith are in recent redrafts and dynasty startups, but a quick note on the ice cold ADPs: Jordan Matthews, Spencer Ware, Mark Ingram, and Sammy Watkins. Jordan Matthews is going undrafted in 12-team, 15-round redrafts now…they’ve destroyed him in the press.

Carson Wentz is awful, but if anyone has noticed – Jordan Matthews has been way better than or as good a Pro WR as Alshon Jeffrey since JMatt hit the league two years ago. Matthews is a team leader and been with Wentz for two years…he has the relationship advantage. So why is Jeffrey a top 50 guy and JMatt undraftable?

Is it because Matthews could be traded? Oh, man…I’d hate if a really talented WR, a guy more talented and better physically crafted than DeAndre Hopkins (as an example) was sent to a team that really wanted him. That would be terrible.

 

— I haven’t caught the Hard Knocks Tampa Bay show yet. I’m trying to ASAP. I’ll review it when I do.

I heard an interview with Dirk Koetter yesterday apologizing for his swearing at Jameis Winston on the debut episode. He did so with a smirk. I’d expect nothing less than old-school ridiculousness from Koetter. He’s going to take a talented team and flush down the drain…you watch.

 

Eddie Lacy is flaming out in Seattle. I’m patiently waiting for the world to agree with me that Seattle is a dumpster fire, and Pete Carroll and his staff are stoking the flames daily. Russell Wilson’s nickname should be straight up “Jesus” because he saved everyone on that staff’s asses. No Wilson – and Carroll and friends are gone a long time ago.

Who signs Eddie Lacy to a $4M deal with $3M guaranteed on purpose? High draft pick Malik McDowell is a season lost due to ATV(?)…the guy was a knucklehead waste of talent in college, and now he’s burned Seattle out of the gates. Every time I turn around Seattle is making another dumb decision. It’s going to catch up to them. All that locker room heat – it’s all true. It’s a powder keg ready to explode. I have that on good authority and have been saying it for a year+. It’s the reason why everyone is talking about it/hinting about it in the media…it’s real.

There’s nice talent still there, but why do I have the feeling Seattle 2017 is going to be Arizona 2016? The team everyone fawns over and then they go 7-9 and leave analysts scratching their heads? Seattle needs to flush everything and start over but they won’t. As long as Wilson is there – there’s hope. But they will probably languish as an 8-9-10 win team bounced from playoffs early when they should be winning multiple Super Bowls.

The most overrated coaches who will never be called such because ‘winning’ are Pete Carroll and Mike McCarthy. Seattle and Green Bay should have been/be dominant, feared teams winning multiple titles. Instead, they’re more letdowns than not with one exception season/title to gloss over the issues.

 

— A lot of preseason games tonight, eight of them. Here’s a preview of the thing I am most looking forward to in each game…and the way I’d bet them (and lose)…

 

ATL (-1.0) at MIA – I love Miami and the +1.0 point here. ‘Home’ is a very slight preseason advantage, but consider the Dolphins will either work Jay Cutler some to help get him up to speed – or they will sit him completely and play a gaggle of pretty solid backups who’ve had some time with the 1s pre-Cutler signing. Miami is also deeper at RB-WR-TE once the 1s are gone.

What I want to see – If Cutler plays, does he lean on any WR…tipping his hand on early comfort level? If no Cutler, I really want to see how Steve Sarkisian uses (or not) Taylor Gabriel.

 

MIN (-2.0) at BUF – I’d take Buffalo here because ‘home’ and my current love/like affair/curiosity with Sean McDermott. Plus, I wish nothing but bad on the Vikings to move Mike Zimmer out. He’s stonewalling too much fantasy talent and I won’t stand for it anymore.

I want to see some Zay Jones make detractors eat their words…and absolutely get ignored anyway.

 

WAS at BAL (-1.0) – You have to like the Redskins here given the Ravens have a collection of QBs who couldn’t make the Indoor League. Ryan Mallett on a roster is an embarrassment to professional football.

Of course, I’m going to sit back, kick my feet up and watch Samaje Perine win the starting RB job…and then get ignored some more as the analysts talk about Robert Kelley losing weight.

 

JAC at NE (-3.5) – Considering the Patriots have two QBs who are the top 10 best in the league at their position, and that the Patriots second string would win the AFC East…you have to take the Pats here.

Sure, I want to see Brandin Cooks when he scores a 50+ yard TD, which he will, but I really want to see Leonard Fournette try to wrestle away the media rookie hysteria from Christian McCaffrey. Doubtful. McCaffrey was presented with a gold jacket last night…a fitting tribute to his great NFL career. They don’t always skip Akron and just give it to you after your second carry, but sometimes exceptions have to be made.

 

DEN (-1.0) at CHI – Slight lean to Chicago at home. Mitchell Trubisky action and a deep enough RB-WR-TE group gives the Bears the nod. Denver much deeper on defense so it’s a tough call. Not one I can bet seriously.

Too much to see here…Trubisky, and Denver’s best QB Kyle Sloter but I really want to see if the Bears tip their hand on Tarik Cohen (or not).

 

PHI at GB (-1.0) – This will be a fun game because of very good backups on both sides, so I’d pick Philly because they’ll care more…but I’d never waste disposable dollars on this. The best bet in this game – Carson Wentz does anything positive he’ll be hailed as the second coming.

Honestly, what I want to see most is three backup QBs at work – Nick Foles, Brett Hundley, and Taysom Hill. Is Foles going to make Carson Wentz look bad (it won’t matter if he did)? Is Hundley going to improve his trade value (Denver should already be on the phone)? I love Taysom Hill’s QB ability, but so many injuries. I hope he shows out tonight.

 

NO at CLE (-3.0) – I have no idea why this line is -3.0, so I’ll just take the +3.0 the other way. Two of the worst run teams in the NFL doing battle.

I hope we get to see some bookend Myles Garrett-Emmanuel Ogbah action with the first team for the Browns…it’s the Browns only hope to get over 4 wins this season – a menacing D-Line.

 

PIT at NYG (-3.5) – Too many points to lay in a preseason game, so I’d go Steelers by default.

Two things I want to see here: (1) Extensive Davis Webb work. (2) How fast is Shane Vereen entering the game? Are the Giants seriously going to push Paul Perkins over everything? I think the Giants will lean Perkins here to get him work and keep Vereen in their pocket. He doesn’t need to prove anything.

 

 

 — rc@fantasyfootballmetrics.com

 

 

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics, and College Football Metrics. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.”

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