Fantasy Football Metrics

2017 Faux NFL Season (R.C. Computer Simulation) Conference Championship


Twitter @FFMetrics, @xaviercromartie

Our Faux 2017 season simulations are an every May tradition – not just for just the fun of trying to predict the season ahead, but we’re trying to establish/locate ‘over/under season win total’ opportunities for you (and us) to wager on and prosper from. We’ve had a pretty nice track record of such things over previous years. In fact, I may stop wasting as much energy with week-to-week betting and just let it all ride on these preseason o/u opportunities. It’s dumb not to ride with the fastest, winning horses…

Both myself and the illustrious Xavier Cromartie, fresh off his world domination of draft analysts in the 2017 NFL Draft prediction game (more info on that here: XC’s 2017 record-setting NFL event), will share our 2017 season simulations a few NFL weeks at a time, and then through our playoff model predictions. We start on 5/8/2017 and run Monday-Friday for two weeks. *Neither of us know the other’s simulation results until we’re finished.

After the two weeks of Faux season results, we’ll publish chats that Xavier and I had about our Faux results and discuss the best over/under opportunities we see out there for 2017 and look back at our profitable 2016 plays, and what we learned from last season.

Hope you enjoy the show…


Green Bay at Dallas

Kansas City at New England



Conference Champions…


Green Bay at Dallas

Dallas wins 64% of the simulations. Sweet vengeance from last year’s miracle finish that got the Packers over the Cowboys. No miracle finish last season and the Cowboys may have run to the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Dallas dominated the 2016 regular season and then had a fluke loss against GB in the playoffs…not this season.


Kansas City at New England

New England wins 66% of the simulations. Wait? I thought you said a few weeks ago that New England didn’t make it to the Super Bowl in the simulation?

Of course, New England is going to win the AFC East, be a #1 seed, contend for a 17-0 season and bum rush to the Super Bowl and win it. That’s what everybody thinks. What’s the fun in predicting the Patriots to win the Super Bowl with everyone else on the planet?

So, I am taking over the wheel from our computer simulations here and saying that the team that has been jobbed in the playoffs the past two seasons pulls an absolute shocker and beats NE at Foxboro and heads off to the Super Bowl. I’m sure the network broadcasting the game would love missing out on New England v. Dallas…the two most loved-hated teams in all of football.

I do think the only teams that could knock off the Patriots this season in the AFC are the Steelers and the Chiefs…and Denver could bump them off in a one-game set. I have a nagging feeling the Chiefs are going to threaten the Pats in 2017.

Let’s do it.

Let’s send KC to the Super Bowl, shocking the world, and facing Dallas.



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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics, and College Football Metrics. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.”

Fantasy Football Metrics