Fantasy Football Metrics

2017 Faux NFL Season (X.C. Computer Simulation) Wildcard Playoffs

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Twitter @FFMetrics, @xaviercromartie

Our Faux 2017 season simulations are an every May tradition – not just for just the fun of trying to predict the season ahead, but we’re trying to establish/locate ‘over/under season win total’ opportunities for you (and us) to wager on and prosper from. We’ve had a pretty nice track record of such things over previous years. In fact, I may stop wasting as much energy with week-to-week betting and just let it all ride on these preseason o/u opportunities. It’s dumb not to ride with the fastest, winning horses…

Both myself and the illustrious Xavier Cromartie, fresh off his world domination of draft analysts in the 2017 NFL Draft prediction game (more info on that here: XC’s 2017 record-setting NFL event), will share our 2017 season simulations a few NFL weeks at a time, and then through our playoff model predictions. We start on 5/8/2017 and run Monday-Friday for two weeks. *Neither of us know the other’s simulation results until we’re finished.

After the two weeks of Faux season results, we’ll publish chats that Xavier and I had about our Faux results and discuss the best over/under opportunities we see out there for 2017 and look back at our profitable 2016 plays, and what we learned from last season.

Hope you enjoy the show…

 

Playoffs:

AFC:

#1 New England Patriots (15-1)

#2 Pittsburgh Steelers (13-3)

#3 Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) v #6 Baltimore Ravens (9-7)

#4 Tennessee Titans (10-6) v #5 Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)

 

NFC:

#1 Seattle Seahawks (14-2)

#2 Green Bay Packers (12-4)

#3 Dallas Cowboys (11-5) v #6 New York Giants (9-7)

#4 Atlanta Falcons (10-6) v #5 Minnesota Vikings (9-7)

 

Wild Card Round:

#3 Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) v #6 Baltimore Ravens (9-7)

Chiefs have a 67% chance of winning.

Chiefs defeat Ravens 24-20.

Comment: The Ravens had a good defense, but Flacco was not elite enough.

 

#4 Tennessee Titans (10-6) v #5 Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)

Titans have a 52% chance of winning.

Titans defeat Bengals 24-23.

Comment: Similar, pretty good teams; it came down to home field for the Titans.

 

#3 Dallas Cowboys (11-5) v #6 New York Giants (9-7)

Cowboys have a 65% chance of winning.

Cowboys defeat Giants 26-22.

Comment: The Cowboys win because Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott generate points.

 

#4 Atlanta Falcons (10-6) v #5 Minnesota Vikings (9-7)

Falcons have a 54% chance of winning.

Falcons defeat Vikings 25-23.

Comment: Ryan is significantly better than Bradford, but the Vikings’ defense is better. Home field settles it.

 

 

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics, and College Football Metrics. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.”

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