Fantasy Football Metrics

2017 Faux NFL Season (R.C. Computer Simulation) Wildcard Playoffs

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Twitter @FFMetrics, @xaviercromartie

Our Faux 2017 season simulations are an every May tradition – not just for just the fun of trying to predict the season ahead, but we’re trying to establish/locate ‘over/under season win total’ opportunities for you (and us) to wager on and prosper from. We’ve had a pretty nice track record of such things over previous years. In fact, I may stop wasting as much energy with week-to-week betting and just let it all ride on these preseason o/u opportunities. It’s dumb not to ride with the fastest, winning horses…

Both myself and the illustrious Xavier Cromartie, fresh off his world domination of draft analysts in the 2017 NFL Draft prediction game (more info on that here: XC’s 2017 record-setting NFL event), will share our 2017 season simulations a few NFL weeks at a time, and then through our playoff model predictions. We start on 5/8/2017 and run Monday-Friday for two weeks. *Neither of us know the other’s simulation results until we’re finished.

After the two weeks of Faux season results, we’ll publish chats that Xavier and I had about our Faux results and discuss the best over/under opportunities we see out there for 2017 and look back at our profitable 2016 plays, and what we learned from last season.

Hope you enjoy the show…

 

The playoff matchups…

NY Giants at Atlanta

Arizona at Seattle

BYES: #1 seed Dallas and Green Bay

 

Oakland at Pittsburgh

Denver at Kansas City

BYES: #1 seed New England and Tennessee

 

Wild Card Playoffs…

 

NY Giants at Atlanta

NY Giants wins 52% of the simulations.

The difference between Atlanta and the Giants last season was what? They were both 11-5. The Giants had a more difficult division to deal with.

In the offseason, NYG added Brandon Marshall, Evan Engram, and an RB is likely coming. The Giants added offensive firepower and a legit backup in case Eli goes down the past few months. At the same time, Atlanta lost its key offensive coordinator and did nothing special in the draft…and has no real backup plan after Matt Ryan. The Giants were playing as good a football as Atlanta late last season, but the Falcons caught a break and the Giants did not.

 

Arizona at Seattle

Seattle wins 57% of the simulations.

If it comes down to it – this game will be a bloodbath between these two bitter rivals. Seattle home field is key.

 

Oakland at Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh wins 55% of the simulations.

Oakland goes west-to-east into Heinz field. The Steelers defense makes the difference.

 

Denver at Kansas City

Kansas City wins 59% of the simulations.

Another inner-division war with KC’s experience at QB plus a developing O-Line and run game lead the way.

 

Next Round/Tomorrow we have…

NY Giants at Dallas

Seattle at Green Bay

Pittsburgh at New England

Kansas City at Tennessee

 

 

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics, and College Football Metrics. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.”

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