Fantasy Football Metrics

Mike Tolbert: Speaking of 3rd-RBs Lurking on a Depth Chart

Twitter @FFMetrics

We do all agree that Mike Tolbert is the most talented RB on the Carolina Panthers, right? It’s just that the Panthers have had four RBs to be afraid of crowding the roster: Tyler Gaffney, Jonathan Stewart, DeAngelo Williams, and the most feared RB on the list: Cam Newton.

Tyler Gaffney is gone for 2014 with an injury (and is now on the Patriots).

Jonathan Stewart’s always hurt…and is already out 1-2 weeks with nagging injuries…as I type.

DeAngelo Williams is the most uninspiring starting RB in the NFL (off the top of my head).  

Cam Newton led the team in rushing TDs last season (shocker), but what if between coming off foot injury and (maybe) signs a big contract extension, that Cam ‘magically’ cuts back his running even more this season?

**Our ever-evolving, ever-updating to kick-off, Moneyball scouted, 2014 Fantasy Football e-Draft Guide and Cheat Sheets are on sale now. FFM website *

What if a slimmed down Mike Tolbert is the best RB the Panthers have? Tolbert has accumulated TD totals of 11-10-7-7 over the past four years, while sharing touches (sitting and watching a lot of touches) with everyone from Ryan Matthews and Cam Newton. We know Tolbert is a bulldozer of a goal-line RB. However, often overlooked is that he is a great receiver out of the backfield. He’s like Darren Sproles, if Darren Sproles had eaten an entire other Darren Sproles, and kept 4.7+ speed after doing so. Tolbert had 54 catches in 2011, which was his last year with SD. He’s like a runaway tank when he gets a screen pass. He is one of the most unique weapons in the NFL…and one of the most underutilized weapons in the NFL.

Carolina may be waking up to that fact. Tolbert led all Carolina RBs in carries in their playoff loss last year (8 carries…Cam had 10). In the Panthers’ final four games of 2013-14, DeAngelo had 42 carries, and Tolbert 28.

It may be that Mike Tolbert is recognizing that he could be the Panthers’ best RB this year as well. He has been a quasi-FB for the Panthers, and added weight to play the role. This offseason, Tolbert has cut 13 pounds to 237 (see article attached below). He can be an effective three-down RB.

We tend to forget about Tolbert buried on his depth chart, but with Tyler Gaffney gone, and if you assume another Stewart injury-fest…Tolbert many already be the #2 RB, and only needs to nudge out DeAngelo Williams.

Tolbert with 10 carries and 5 targets per game would push as a top-20 Fantasy RB.

– R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” hereThe Machine via FFM

 **If you enjoy the free content on Fantasy Football Metrics.com please consider making your next Amazon purchase through our website/link partnership with Amazon. You’re going to buy something at Amazon anyway, there is no extra charge — help give us a little love! Feel free to save/bookmark this link in your favorites and you will have it for all future Amazon purchases. Thanks for your consideration! Link – Amazon.com: Online Shopping for Electronics, Apparel, Computers, Books, DVDs & more **

 

Carolina Panthers Tolbert sheds pounds, retains toughness

Carolina Panthers Tolbert sheds pounds, retains toughne…Mike Tolbert is a goal line terror for defenses and a wrecking ball at fullback for the Carolina Panthers. But after an offseason of training on the West Coast, Tol…
View on www.charlotteobserve… Preview by Yahoo

 

 

Rishard Matthews Update, and What Sheep Do In The Preseason…

Twitter @FFMetrics

Attached (below) is an eyewitness Rishard Matthews observation by a writer observing a ‘private invite’ camp session for the Miami Dolphins. I point this out for two reasons:

1) I think Rishard Matthews is a star talent waiting to happen (likely he has to take his talents outta Miami to do so). He starting peaking through last season, but ended the year half-quiet, half-encouraging overall. Many of you are following along on Rishard Matthews with various levels of conviction, so here’s a little Rishard news…  Rishard Matthews news

2) This prompted something I was thinking about over the weekend: The danger and folly of the preseason training camp headlines.

Basically, as a ‘fan’ or Fantasy GM we are dying for preseason information about our favorite upstart players. We desire that Fantasy Football validation. The Rotoworld or whomever football headlines pop about such and such player, and many adopt that headline as 100% gospel truth. It’s a devious, deadly hamster wheel fans go on. One week, the headlines read something like “Rishard Matthews looking great in practice, running with the 1s.” Two weeks later, the headline reads Rishard Matthews unlikely to make Dolphins roster.” Two more weeks later, Rishard Matthews star of the Day-four training camp” (like the report below). Tomorrow, you’ll see a headline, “Drops plague Rishard Matthews, likely to be cut.

Why such a roller coaster?

**Our ever-evolving, ever-updating to kick-off, Moneyball scouted, 2014 Fantasy Football e-Draft Guide and Cheat Sheets are on sale now. Direct link:  FFM 2014 Draft**

 

Look, these news reports are cherry picked from among a thousand or so fans/writers covering training camp. You have a thousand people who probably have a thousand different opinions on what they saw on any given play…999 of them probably have no idea what college Rishard Matthews went to, or how his measurables compare among the NFL WRs…or measurables compared to the other 10+ WRs on the Miami depth chart. To me, basically it’s a bunch of guys sitting around, observing practice (and by observing, I mean talking to their buddies between 63-84% of the time), and they are waiting around for a highlight play to applaud. A guy makes a great catch in a 7-on-7, or whenever…then that guy will be written up as: “had a great day at camp,” and is “really impressing people.” They ask the coaches about said player, after practice, and coach says his normal positive things…and then you get “they really like this kid.” What ‘kids’ don’t they like on their team? Jacksonville was over-the-moon with Blaine Gabbert every time they were asked about him. Why do we care what those same people think about Blake Bortles?

It’s all skewed observations and sound bytes thrown into a stew along with what Mel Kiper or Mike Mayock or football society told them they should think about Rishard Matthews. If no one else is talking about Rishard Matthews, then he must be no good. Beat writers are giving you no/low context, pre-bias scouting reports based on a cool catch or bad drop they saw one-time, based on their 28% of paying attention.  Enjoy that ‘insider’ info. 

I’m am not writing this to put beat writers down, and elevate myself. I am trying to liberate some of you…in order to improve your Fantasy Football management. Some of you are totally enslaved to these headlines of Josh Boyce not projected to make the 53-man roster,” or Eric Ebron being groomed as Lions’ Jimmy Graham. There are hundreds of opinions coming from camp. The headline feeder company grabs the headlines they like, or have some fiscal affiliation with, and they post it. Probably because it fits their football world view…or they just randomly grabbed it. There’s no deep vetting system with these headlines. There’s no search for the best content…or even unique content. It’s mostly newspapers or websites the headline grabber websites are working with. You aren’t getting the best of the best content…you are getting content they decided to grab.

Many of you think I’ll be working for ESPN or Yahoo or an NFL team some day, and that is very gracious, but I assure it is never going to happen. I’ll do anything for the right price, but that knock on the door will never come. Why?

You know what the #1 reason I get turned down to write content for any outside website is? When I first started in the business, on my own, like a street corner musician strumming away with an open guitar case hoping for some spare change. I offered to write content anywhere, just to get some notice of the work we are doing. 98%+ turn down. As we’ve gotten bigger, the reduced amount of offers I’ve made to provide content has only raised my turn down rate to 99%+. Why? The number one reason I have been rejected by other football websites, and will continue to be: “Well, no one else is saying that about those players.” I don’t get praise or curiosity or ‘uniqueness’ points for blasting Blake Bortles and proclaiming Tom Savage as the best QB prospect in the draft…I get in trouble. Too edgy. Too out there. Mel Kiper doesn’t agree (no slam on Mel, just using an example), so I must be a lunatic.

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

 

My call on Nick Foles (as an example) is not seen as prescient, it was seen as dumb luck in the football media community. Actually, because no one ordained Nick Foles as a star, they still believe he is a ‘fluke’. So I’m not even right about him, because I’ll be wrong in 2014. You’ll see Foles on every ‘sell’ or ‘bust’ list this Fantasy preseason, I guarantee it. Those who are positive on Foles, offer this kind of positive (my words): “The Chip Kelly offense even made a non-talent like Foles a good QB.” They are watching everything we all are, and they still do not see whats right in front of their face. They can’t…it doesn’t fit with their pre-bias on the player. 

All these people are the ones selecting the headlines they feel you need to know. They skew (subconsciously) to the takes that fit their world view. With their lack of vision…they are sharing their vision…and you are buying their vision…because you think they have vision because they have a ‘football job’…when all they’ve done is show they have no vision for this time and time again.

I sat at the Senior Bowl practices and was enamored with Jordan Matthews. 97-100% of what was nationally reported from the Senior Bowl on Matthews was more negative/nothing than positive/something. We all watched the same things in Alabama…almost none of them saw it. Not even the NFL teams and their scouts littered all over the field and stadium saw anything of note…because none of the teams went with Matthews in the late 1st-round. My biggest takeaway from attending the Senior Bowl…was observing all the media and scouts chatting away at the event, and not watching football. When they did, the things they talked about sounded like anything you could hear at Buffalo Wild Wings on an NFL Sunday…actually, a less informed/interesting version.

A broken system, led by people whose football observation skills you have no idea on, are picking headlines to feed to you. Question them before you religiously believe them.

 

– R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

 **If you enjoy the free content on Fantasy Football Metrics.com please consider making your next Amazon purchase through our website/link partnership with Amazon. You’re going to buy something at Amazon anyway, there is no extra charge — help give us a little love! Feel free to save/bookmark this link in your favorites and you will have it for all future Amazon purchases. Thanks for your consideration! Link – Amazon.com: Online Shopping for Electronics, Apparel, Computers, Books, DVDs & more **

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Quick Draft Guide Item: The ‘Updt.’ Notation

On our Draft Guide, as you see players denoted with ‘updt.’: It means I have added a notes/notes/changed the commentary completely on the player from where it was before…as situations change, etc. Many of these nuggets are to communicate special items not for public release…it’s just for Draft Guide users.

I just wanted to note that so you didn’t skip over them thinking ‘updt.’ just meant new, obvious, public info on a player that adjusted their projected numbers. I am trying to communicate more of our insider info and FF-advice–whether Fantasy Football redraft related, or Dynasty Rookie Draft tidbits, without giving it all to the public…or you see it first before we go public days later. Now, that camps are started in full gear. You’ll see more and more of the ‘updt.’ notation, so don’t miss out on any new developments to consider!!

 

2014 Fantasy Football Draft Guide Update MON 7/28/14 10:40am ET

Players added since last update:  Fozzy Whittaker

Projection changes based on latest ‘intel’ (noted with ‘+’ or ‘–’ on the Draft Guide):  Lamichael James, Cecil Shorts, Carlos Hyde, Alan Bonner, Ben Tate, Terrance West, Mike Tolbert, Zurlon Tipton, Dan Herron, Demetrius Harris

tags — 2014 Fantasy Football Draft top-10, 2014 dynasty rookie draft, 2014 Fantasy Football Draft Guide

TO GET THE LATEST DRAFT GUIDE DATA: REFRESH or RELOAD (right click, and select the option) your open web page with Draft Guide or Cheat Sheet showing. *Worst case: close out of your open web page, and re-click original draft guide link to be auto-connected with the latest. Date on bottom of any page should show: 7/28/14.

=======================================

**Our ever-evolving, ever-updating to kick-off, Moneyball scouted, 2014 Fantasy Football e-Draft Guide and Cheat Sheets are on sale now. Direct link:  FFM 2014 Draft**

==============================

NEW: Top-24 PPR and non-PPR player draft rankings for Draft Guide Users! We added a top-24 overall (by popular demand, as much as I tried to not do it!) based on our computer model’s valuation of a 12-team, 4 pts per pass TD, 1QB-2RB-2WR-1TE, generic league.

As soon as you change a variable from our valuation model (more/less teams, different starting lineup requirements, scoring variables), the whole ‘rank’ model changes…so use for ‘entertainment purposes only’. That’s why I am always hesitant to recommend a top-10 generic guidance…so many variables change the landscape.  There are two reports (non and PPR) with this special list/rank…and they are with the ‘Washington’ team-defense projections (last team in alphabetical, so we used them)…you’ll see it. IF you choose the “by Team Name…” option from the main draft guide page…go to the last/next to last pages and you’ll see them with the Washington players with obvious titles “Top-24…”)

It’s not where we are saying you should draft them, but rather where we think the most FF-economic valuable players are…and you’ll be semi-shocked by some of the names/positions we are valuing higher this year (so far).

 **If you enjoy the free content on Fantasy Football Metrics.com please consider making your next Amazon purchase through our website/link partnership with Amazon. You’re going to buy something at Amazon anyway, there is no extra charge — help give us a little love! Feel free to save/bookmark this link in your favorites and you will have it for all future Amazon purchases. Thanks for your consideration! Link – Amazon.com: Online Shopping for Electronics, Apparel, Computers, Books, DVDs & more **

 

2014 Fantasy Football: Don’t Overlook This Colts 3rd-RB Dark Horse

Twitter @FFMetrics

With Vick Ballard down and out for the second season in-a-row, there is an interesting battle now for the Colts’ 3rd-RB slot. I proclaim ‘interesting’ because unlike some NFL teams, the 3rd-RB for Colts may have a Fantasy Football value sooner than expected.

If Trent Richardson has two games to start 2014 regular season, that are as inept as his 2013 efforts…he may get run out of town quickly. If he is showing the 2013 sluggishness in the 2014 preseason games, there might be trouble before this season even starts. Many are collectively holding their breath with him for Fantasy Football 2014.

Ahmad Bradshaw is the obvious name after that, but I’m not sure Bradshaw can string together three-straight healthy games without some level of game-missing injury.

Vick Ballard was the Fantasy Football ‘deep sleeper’ of the group…for the mainstream. FFM-nation was having none of this, but FF-analysts loved this guy. I think we can just about put a stake in his career, sadly. 

With Ballard gone, who should you look at the Colts ‘deep-sleeper’ that could be running heavy by about Week-4 this season?

**Our ever-evolving, ever-updating to kick-off, Moneyball scouted, 2014 Fantasy Football e-Draft Guide and Cheat Sheets are on sale now. FFM website **

 

The first opinion out of the mainstream on this 3rd-RB battle is : Chris Rainey. There is logic there, and he is an athletic talent…but more of a limited touch kinda guy. He’s not a full workload body (5’8″, 180). He could be a poor man Darren Sproles, and treats women like a poor man’s Ray Rice. Pittsburgh dumped Rainey pretty quickly upon his 2013 off-season battery issues…and the Steelers typically know what they are doing when dump a player cold. He’s no lock for this 3rd-RB position.

I know. You expect me to discuss Zurlon Tipton here. There is enough information on College Football Metrics.com and our 2014 Fantasy Football Draft Guide to let you know where we stand there. It’s an uphill battle for any UDFA RB in year-one.

The overlooked RB of the group is the one I would bet on as the dark horse 3rd-RB to start the Colts’ 2014: Dan “Boom” Herron. Last season, on five carries, Herron averaged 6.6 yards per carry (pushed by a 22-yard run) for the Colts. He also had one catch in his limited play in 2013…and took that catch for 57-yards. It’s a very small sample size of work…but not a bad showing within that context.

Herron is 5’9″+, 215 and runs a 4.5+ 40-time with well above-average agility, and nice power (22 bench reps). He was good enough to be a 6th-round pick by Cincy in 2012.

Honestly, I was never too impressed with Herron coming out of college. He graded as just a solid/useful NFL RB. What did catch my eye was his preseason tape the last two years. I wanted to dislike him, but I liked-loved everything he was doing with Cincinnati (still they cut him last year). He really surprised me. Herron is a high energy, purposeful runner. To my eyes, a much better RB than the guy I saw on paper coming out of Ohio State. When I then watched him make some big plays for the Colts last year, I was not shocked. 

In a three-way battle between diminutive Chris Rainey, 230+ pound rookie UDFA Zurlon Tipton, and Dan Herron…the least sexy name is Herron’s, but I would propose not shutting that Fantasy Football door on him as a long-shot for Colts because of the media silence on him. We’re projecting star status, but he might stumble into main-carry duties out of nowhere for the Colts. One to watch as the preseason unfolds.

— R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” hereThe Machine via FFM

 **If you enjoy the free content on Fantasy Football Metrics.com please consider making your next Amazon purchase through our website/link partnership with Amazon. You’re going to buy something at Amazon anyway, there is no extra charge — help give us a little love! Feel free to save/bookmark this link in your favorites and you will have it for all future Amazon purchases. Thanks for your consideration! Link – Amazon.com: Online Shopping for Electronics, Apparel, Computers, Books, DVDs & more **

 

DDP Yoga, 14+ Days In (Neck/Back Issues? Listen Up!)

**If you have a back or neck issue, disk problem, or our just super-tight in that area (and may have an issue you just don’t know about fully)…then I implore you to hang with this novella.

The original reason I decided to keep a journal of my DDP Yoga activities was two-fold: (1) I thought it be interesting to write about. Something fresh (for me). (2) For accountability sake. When I posted last week on me trying DDP Yoga, I was surprised by how many kind words of support, and notes from others who have been getting into Yoga. I thank all of you for reaching out. It was encouraging and appreciated.

I now have a third reason to chronicle things, and to publicly publish what’s happening to me: Holy Crap…is this a game-changer for me! After my first 7-10 days or so, I went back to check if they had an ‘affiliates’ opportunity. Where, with like our Amazon partnership, if people wanted to purchase it…they could do so through our link, and we’d get a small commission. Because, I’m about to shout it from the rooftops anyway.

I want to be involved with stuff I’m passionate about, really use, and can save people money and/or make them happy. I think DDP Yoga falls in that realm.

I was going to publish a ‘Yoga post’ per Friday, but I decided to skip ahead to post this because I have an urgent message to deliver to people who have a back/neck issue like me…and I don’t want to hold it for another week.

Look, I’m not a doctor or certified trainer, etc. (duhhh), I’m just telling you what happened to me, and you be the judge…

I’ve been going to a Chiropractor for three-years, and honestly it has been a lifesaver. I pre-thought they were all quacks, but I had such a stabbing pain in my neck/shoulders for three-years leading up to that…I almost could not function properly any more. I had to do something radical. What I didn’t know was that I had a warped disc in my neck from years ago…and it was shifting around hitting nerves.

Doctors first misdiagnosed me with early onset arthritis, and gave me two types of pain pills…a muscle relaxer, and a horse tranquilizer (essentially). No ‘real’ fix from the pain. Just an arthritis ‘guess’ on their part after carpal tunnel was ruled out. I now know why people get so hooked to pain pills…they are awesome, for a spell. I hurt so much years ago, that I’d pop the horse tranquilizer pills to kill the pain when it was REALLY bad. Right before I did, I had to call into work and take the day off…because ‘daddy was about to go to his happy place’ for 10 hours (8 of those sleeping, 2 of them in a complete fog). This was masking the problem…and it was getting worse. My doctor’s solution: More pills! This was not a real solution.

After the doctor thing let me down, I begrudgingly went to the Chiropractor. It was a godsend. The chiropractor actually X-Ray’d my neck and spine (the doctor I went to did not)…Imagine that! They identified the disk issue quickly. The chiropractor could not permanently ‘fix it’, but he could straighten my spine through adjustments and take the pressure off the nerves. I was skeptical, but desperate. Long story short: I haven’t had the pain since…and no more pills.

The Chiropractor is not a magic wand. You don’t get magically cured for good. My spine gets out of alignment through my awesome lifestyle of sitting for hours hunched over a computer, or sitting in a car, or sitting in a restaurant, or sitting on the couch. Common denominator: Sitting like a lump. As long as I went in for an adjustment every 10-12 days, I felt great and had no pain in-between visits. As soon as I hit days 8-9-10+ between adjustments, I was super-tight, and was beyond ready for the relief of an adjustment forthcoming.

This was an awesome treatment plan for years because my insurance (at the time) basically paid for everything. It was problem solved. Then, a curveball came in. My insurance policy, unannounced, stopped paying for treatment. Why? Because “I was not getting cured.” When I asked, “How do you get cured from a warped disc without an expensive back surgery that you will pay for?” No great answers. They didn’t care. They just wanted a reason to dump me from a stated policy of something they covered (chiropractic). They basically stole from me, the way I looked at it…changed the policy I’d been paying into for 10-years, and utilizing without issue for three years. Actually, they didn’t change policy; they just stopped paying…and basically said it was my fault for not getting better.

I started to pay full freight for these chiropractic adjustments, because they were lifesavers. I stretched the treatments out to every 14 days, and grumbled a lot. I needed that adjustment, so I couldn’t stop; no matter the cost out of pocket. We take care of our crappy cars better than our spines…a.k.a the literal backbone of our being. So now I began paying $60 a visit = $1,560 out of pocket per year. 

A few weeks ago, I finally got off my butt…and started doing DDP Yoga.

I will share any weight loss, muscle add, etc. (if any) later. My main message today is for those with chronic, nagging pains from issues, or just pain from being out of shape. DDP Yoga has already allowed me to stretch my Chiropractor visits out from 10-12 days to 18 days without issue (which is a first for me). I may go longer than that soon, I’m just getting started.

When I started DDP Yoga, I was due for my regular 14-day chiropractor appointment, but I had to cancel and re-schedule. I had only been doing the DDP Yoga for a few days, and I felt so good in my neck and back (not like usual right before a scheduled appt.), that I decided to stretch the re-schedule out to make it 18-days between visits. No problem. I still felt good-great on day-18. My next 18-day appt. is in like three days…I feel better than good-great going into it. I cannot believe the difference this simple program is making. I’ve not felt this way in a very long time. 

If all that happens with DDP Yoga is that I cut my chiropractic visits from every two weeks to every three weeks, I will save nine visits per year at $60 per visit ($540 per year)…all from my $79+ investment into DDP Yoga. Whether I lose weight or add muscle…at least I have this fiscal benefit.

I’m only doing the beginner DDP Yoga DVD right now, because I’m still too out of shape to move on/it’s still challenging to me (in a good way)…but I’m definitely not as out of shape as I was before. I’ll share those body changes next Friday.

I’ve heard people talk about DDP Yoga, and what an awesome thing it was…yada, yada. It sounded too simple, and I sat on the idea for six months before getting serious, then it was another six months of almost ordering, but thinking, “this can’t really work?” I finally jumped in the pool a few weeks ago.

The DDP program is ‘easy’ (to a degree). No weights. No running. No nothing. It’s simple to do, but kicks your butt in an old-school way. There’s a modified (a.k.a easy) and advanced person doing the workouts on the DVD, so you can mimic the advanced or the ‘modified’, until your ready for advanced. I’m mostly modified right now. It’s not complicated to follow, or do, but it is a ‘real’ (not easy) workout…because you’re working even while standing still. It’s wild! Almost indescribable. 

I’ll get into more details on the workouts in upcoming posts, but people living with pain in their neck and back area (This is supposedly good for all joints, knees, etc.. I don’t know. I don’t have those issues.), whether you are ‘in shape’ or not…you need to consider giving this a whirl. I think like me, and lots of others, it will have results that might amaze you. Check out the videos on the DDP Yoga website to see examples of the program (a click through to their home page is below).

If you do take the plunge, would you be so kind as to click this link and then go to pick your item and checkout. Thanks! Let me know if you do, and how it is going! Any questions about my experience before ordering the program? Email me rc@fantasyfootballmetrics.com

Click any of these banners to get to the DDP site, and so it tracks for our ‘credit’:

 

**Next Friday, an update on my body changes (and yes, there have been…to my shock).** Good Luck! RC

 

 

A Better Take on Ray Rice Than I Could Write…

Twitter @FFMetrics

I’m not sure where you fall on the Ray Rice incident, and subsequent suspension. I’m in the: “I cannot believe he only got two games” camp, as well as the “This makes me sick to my stomach” camp. 

The standard thing to do as any football writer is to muster up ‘outrage’, and to mock the NFL penal code. To compare past player suspensions, and then in the light of them…blast the NFL for only giving Ray Rice two games. I get it. It’s my vibe too.

I thought about writing something on it, but most people have the same take…why bother? So I can go “me too!” Let all the real football writers take a break from ‘outrage’ at the word ‘Redskins’, and transfer it to ‘outrage’ at the NFL/Ray Rice…no one will care in a few days, and back to the ‘Redskins’ argument.

I’m not that awesome a human to even comment. Because I really won’t care that deeply in a few moments. I’ll hold it against Rice as a human, but if he falls in the FF-redraft, I have to evaluate my options. Gordon Gekko shorted NASA stock the day the Space Shuttle Columbia blew up. We’ll all do the same with Rice. Our ‘outrage’ tends to have its greedy limits. 

I may be an insensitive Fantasy Football jerk, but I can make myself feel a little better after a report I read today that as Ray Rice entered the practice field to start camp…he got an ovation from the fans. What a hero! How awful a human could you be to cheer Rice, on purpose to show ‘your’ support…with this dark cloud hanging. I’m not saying they should throw bottles at him, but cheering? Wow. Too soon. 

I saw this clip (below), and any thought I might have had about throwing my shade at this situation went out the window. I’ll just stand next to this clip, and go: “What he said.”

 

Watch Keith Olbermann’s takedown of the NFL over Ray Rice’s suspension

Watch Keith Olbermann’s takedown of the NFL over Ray R…This discussion of the NFL, suspension policies and the treatment of women is absolutely perfect.
View on www.sbnation.com Preview by Yahoo

 

2014 Fantasy Football Draft Guide Update SUN 7/27/14 12:15am ET

Players added since last update:  Dontrelle Inman, Phillip Tanner

Projection changes based on latest ‘intel’ (noted with ‘+’ or ‘–’ on the Draft Guide):  Brandin Cooks (Please see note added on his summary), Dan Herron, Kendall Hunter, Tyler Gaffney, Mike Tolbert, Lamicheal James, Jordy Nelson, 

tags — 2014 Fantasy Football Draft top-10, 2014 dynasty rookie draft, 2014 Fantasy Football Draft Guide

TO GET THE LATEST DRAFT GUIDE DATA: REFRESH or RELOAD (right click, and select the option) your open web page with Draft Guide or Cheat Sheet showing. *Worst case: close out of your open web page, and re-click original draft guide link to be auto-connected with the latest. Date on bottom of any page should show: 7/27/14.

=======================================

**Our ever-evolving, ever-updating to kick-off, Moneyball scouted, 2014 Fantasy Football e-Draft Guide and Cheat Sheets are on sale now. Direct link:  FFM 2014 Draft**

==============================

NEW: Top-24 PPR and non-PPR player draft rankings for Draft Guide Users! We added a top-24 overall (by popular demand, as much as I tried to not do it!) based on our computer model’s valuation of a 12-team, 4 pts per pass TD, 1QB-2RB-2WR-1TE, generic league.

As soon as you change a variable from our valuation model (more/less teams, different starting lineup requirements, scoring variables), the whole ‘rank’ model changes…so use for ‘entertainment purposes only’. That’s why I am always hesitant to recommend a top-10 generic guidance…so many variables change the landscape.  There are two reports (non and PPR) with this special list/rank…and they are with the ‘Washington’ team-defense projections (last team in alphabetical, so we used them)…you’ll see it. IF you choose the “by Team Name…” option from the main draft guide page…go to the last/next to last pages and you’ll see them with the Washington players with obvious titles “Top-24…”)

It’s not where we are saying you should draft them, but rather where we think the most FF-economic valuable players are…and you’ll be semi-shocked by some of the names/positions we are valuing higher this year (so far).

 **If you enjoy the free content on Fantasy Football Metrics.com please consider making your next Amazon purchase through our website/link partnership with Amazon. You’re going to buy something at Amazon anyway, there is no extra charge — help give us a little love! Feel free to save/bookmark this link in your favorites and you will have it for all future Amazon purchases. Thanks for your consideration! Link – Amazon.com: Online Shopping for Electronics, Apparel, Computers, Books, DVDs & more **

 

Tyler Gaffney: Out for the Season

I haven’t seen this listed many places yet (late SAT. hour and all), but FYI: Gaffney has a torn lateral meniscus in left knee. Done for 2014. 

 

New Scouting Report on CFM: WR Sammie Coates, Auburn

Twitter @FFMetrics

As part of our look ahead to some of the more interesting 2015 NFL Draft prospects for Dynasty Rookie Drafts, etc. We are did an analysis and study on Auburn WR Sammie Coates. This was a bit of an eye-opener for me as I don’t know the college players as well until they hit the NFL Draft, and then do back-study. 

Sammie Coates is popping up in discussions here and there as an amazing athlete, but can he play WR? See what our computer scouting models thought about what they had to work with from 2013. That is now posted at College Football Metrics.com.

Marcus Mariota and Jameis Winston reports are done, and will be out any time. Also, the re-do of the 2013 Dynasty Rookie Draft rankings will hit Monday-Tuesday. All plans are for this Monday.

**See the 2014 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

 

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