Fantasy Football Metrics

Coming Up On FFM and CFM…

 

Just a quick glimpse at the next few weeks on FFM and CFM.

First, College Football Metrics…

 — More reports, and updated grades and ranking boards.

 — I hope to do a 2015 Dynasty Rookie Draft preview and pre-strategies next week–ahead of the actual NFL Draft for those contemplating moves (trade outs or trade ups). 

 — Prior to the draft, we are going to rank every player in the draft with a mix of our talent grades with NFL value. No one cares about RBs and Safeties, but QBs, OTs, and CBs are always in style, and now WRs are becoming valuable. We take talent + economics and produce a value-based draft board with numerical valuations–a first that we we’ve published this in CFM history. 

I guarantee our top 32…100…200…will look nothing like the re-hashes you’ve seen in the mainstream for months. 

 — As always, over the three actual draft days, we will be doing real time commentary of the NFL Draft, and listing picks as they happen. Always a fun companion/alternative to the NFL Network and ESPN coverage. 

YOU WILL ENJOY and UNDERSTAND THE NFL DRAFT LIKE NEVER BEFORE WITH CFM!!!

 — Post-draft, we get right to the first top 50 and top 100 Dynasty Rookie Draft prospects with commentary and strategy discussion. 

— Scouting Reports will still be added post-draft up to opening day of the NFL season…and we’ll do reports on a few key players for 2016.

==================================

Coming up on FFM

 — Once the NFL Draft ends, we can get back to analyzing the impact of the draft on current NFL players, and looking at the schedules, etc. 

 –Random articles as always, and the ever popular me complaining about non-football stuff. 

 — The 2015 Fantasy Football Draft guide will be in the works, with an initial hoped for launch by June 1st. As always, we constantly update our draft guide projections and commentary, adding players, etc. almost daily right up to kickoff. Our Fantasy Draft Guide is a living, breathing, evolving thing. 

 

Plus whatever else I’m not thinking of. Stay Tuned!!!

 

Play The Draft: Daily Report 4-17-15

Twitter @FFMetrics

 

Today we discuss the possible, not assured, PTD-upside in Jay Ajayi, Eric Kendricks, and Laken Tomlinson.

Play The Draft Daily Report: PTD Report 4-17-2015

===============================================

 

FFM Contest Update: Ugly night last night…I dropped two spaces–crushed by those above me. The two top guys appear to be running away with this, but I keep harping on this…just stay within $4-7M of the top on draft day, and you could have a shot. Things will be insane on PTD in the first three-rounds. 

Alternatively, you have two more weekly contests to get into that prize pack:   (link) FFM ‘Play The Draft’ 2015—Enter the contest link    (link) FFM ‘Play The Draft’ 2015 prize package

Good Luck in PTD today!

 

Play The Draft Report: 4-16-2015

Twitter @FFMetrics

 

Today’s Play The Draft Report (link):     PTD Daily Report: 4-16-2015

Today we are discussing two WRs that I think are in some PTD-trouble: Breshad Perriman and Jaelen Strong. You probably don’t PTD-own Strong, but I’ll bet you enjoyed what Perriman did for you last night! You need to read my analysis in making a decision to stick with or dump Perriman today.

================================

FFM Contest Update: Well, I didn’t have Perriman in my portfolio last night. I did to start the day, and then sold him off last night in my daily moves…and missed the $100K+ gain. Grrrrrrr!!!

I think I see that FERRET PLAYERS moved into the top 10 today. Welcome!

Good Luck in PTD today!

 

Play The Draft® Market Analysis (4-15-2015)

Twitter @FFMetrics

 

Today’s Daily report looks at Ali Marpet for the first time, plus more bashing of Shane Ray, and a discussion of Darryl Roberts not being available on PTD.

Link to report:  My PTD Daily Report 4-15-2015

==================================================

FFM Contest update: OK, here we go. Good news for me. I jumped back into the top-5 today. Closing in fast on PWILK17!

I didn’t notice until today: VEGASCMARK leaping over RWILSON, and into 2nd-place. RWILSON had a death grip on #2 for a long time. VEGASCMARK has been red hot for weeks—Watch out, Xavier!

My Wednesday: 10% concentration on PTD moves, and 90% trying to figure out last second maneuvers on my tax bill. I screwed up something, and it caused a spike in taxes owed. My tip for anyone who wants to get into the glamorous football analysis business: First go get a Master’s Degree in Computer Science so you can build and maintain your own website every day. Then take a year to study Google SEO, and spend every day analyzing it for the rest of your life. Then go get a Tax Accounting degree to deal with the wave of government issues. Then take time a year to analyze medical insurance processing, and spend at least an hour a week talking to your insurance company about something they aren’t paying.

Eventually, you will then have time to study some football.

Oh, and don’t get married or have kids…too much distraction. *Unless, you marry into money so you can fund all the above issues.

Other than that—go for the football dream! It’s a magical, whimsical journey just like in books and in Disney movies.

You can see, this day already has me aggravated. I hope yours is going to be better. Good luck with your taxes and PTD moves!

 

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. He is also a lead writer for ‘Play The Draft.com’. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

 

Play The Draft Market Report: 4-14-2015

Twitter @FFMetrics

 

My Play The Draft Daily Report is here (link):  PTD Market Report 4-14-2015

 

In today’s report: We’re discussing Marcus Mariota, Jameis Winston, Eric Rowe (I told you!) and touching on why Landon Collins is at least the 5th best Safety in this class…behind four guys who are not traditionally listed as Safeties. You know who they are if you subscribe to College Football Metrics.com!

In the FFM-Contest: My magical PTD-powers drawn from touching the Apple Watch Friday appears to be dissipating, as I drew my first red in a while last night; down $20K…while the top portfolios were crushing it. This is more evidence that I just need to be impetuous and make my pre-order of the Apple Watch. I’m sure my wife will buy this sound spending logic.

16 more days to til’ the draft, can you believe it?

Good luck with your PTD moves today.

 

Quick Takes on the Latest Football News Items (4/14/15)…

Twitter @FFMetrics

 

Catching up on the latest football tidbits…

 

• The Cowboys will not trade up for Melvin Gordon, but they might for Todd Gurley. The Cowboys have suddenly become one of the smart teams in the NFL, don’t be fooled by the cult of personality that is Jerry Jones. That organization has gone from random to disciplined the past few years—thanks to Will McClay. McClay is the man behind scenes for the Cowboys personnel department.

If Todd Gurley is 100% to start the season, then he’s a better RB than Demarco Murray. Imagine if the Cowboys, a team that was robbed of a run at the title on the Dez Bryant non-catch call. If they swap Gurley for Murray…saving millions in payroll. It would be utterly brilliant, disciplined personnel decision making.

 

• Who cares where Michael Crabtree signs? He’s been a waste of a high draft pick. If he signed with the Ravens, I’d be shocked. He’s trouble, and is likely to sign where troubled players draw paychecks—Oakland has to be in the lead for his services. *I wrote this pre-Oakland announcement late Monday night. Prescient…

**See the 2015 NFL Draft and 2015 Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports and rankings. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

 

 

Zach Mettenberger is a poor man’s Tom Brady? I wouldn’t be shocked if Tennessee thinks that.

It also means this is Ken Whisenhunt’s last year ever as an NFL head coach.

 

• I said I was giving up on Rob Housler hope, but I’m human. I’m seeing the same Jordan Cameron visions you are. Keep in mind, Cameron had an amazing four game run to start 2013, and then faded away soon after. 7.5 catches for 87.5 yards and 1.2 TDs per game in that early stretch, but finished from there with 4.5 catches for 50.6 yards and 0.2 TDs per game.

Cameron scored 5 TDs in those 4 games to start 2013, but has posted just 3 TDs in his next/last 21 games.

Let’s be cautious not to over-romanticize Cameron’s era with the Browns. 

 

Colin Kaepernick supposedly looks good working as a pocket passer this offseason, which means the team is pushing a more traditional offense, which means he is really going to struggle—because he is not a pocket passer, never has been. It’s wasting the gift he has.

The coaches are talking about him running more as well…while working on his traditional pocket skills. Old-school coaches like Jim Tomsula will not have a radical, running QB for long. As soon as CK struggles the coaches will blame it on him leaving the pocket to run too much. Kaepernick will be over-coached as sure as I sit here.

If Kaepernick had been traded to Philly, he might have been the Offensive Player of the Year in 2015.

 

 

 **If you enjoy the free content on Fantasy Football Metrics.com please consider making your next Amazon purchase through our website/link partnership with Amazon. You’re going to buy something at Amazon anyway, there is no extra charge — help give us a little love! Feel free to save/bookmark this link in your favorites and you will have it for all future Amazon purchases. Thanks for your consideration! Link — Amazon.com: Online Shopping for Electronics, Apparel, Computers, Books, DVDs & more **

 

NFL Draft Mock Draft 9.0 Posted…

Twitter @FFMetrics

Xavier’s mock draft 9.0 is up on CFM (link): Mock Draft 9.0

 

 

 

Play The Draft® Market Analysis 4-13-2014

Twitter @FFMetrics

 

Today’s PTD Market Analysis Report (link): PTD Report 4-13-2015

 

FFM Contest Update:

It looks like I am getting hot at the right time—I have the top fund movement in the FFM Contest over the past seven days, just inching past VEGASCMARK’s blazing hot portfolio run the last seven days.

We’re just 17 days away from some serious PTD-turbulence hitting on draft day—when millions are made and lost in mere moments. If you can stay within $5-6M of the leader…you actually have a shot on draft day if you make the right calls in the top 5-10.

Good Luck with your PTD moves today!

 

 

 

 

Play The Draft® Market Analysis Sunday (4-12-15) Report

Twitter @FFMetrics

Play The Draft® Market Analysis Sunday, April 12, 2015 Report: (link)   PTD report 4-12-2015

Sorry, folks. I have drawn special PTD-power from my visit to the Apple Store Friday. It’s as if putting the Apple Watch on my wrist is like some magic source for PTD-prowess suddenly. I think I had a first for me in PTD last night: I have 10 prospects in my portfolio…and all ten in the green, not a red one to be found. Huge gains last night!!

My good fortune has pushed me into sixth-place in the FFM Contest, and closing on those ahead of me quickly. One person I did not make ground up on this week is the winner of our weekly contest: VEGASCMARK and his $1.670M gains for the past week. Vegas C has been the top weekly player in the FFM contest twice in the past three weeks…passing four players to move into 3rd-place overall this week. Well done! You now have two tickets in the drawing for the weekly prize…and just two more golden ticket weeks left before draft day.

====================================

OK, my Apple Watch review from Friday…

I haven’t worn a watch in decades. I have two watch memories in my life:

(1) My dad gave me his old watch when I was in like the 5-6th grade. It was a big (fake) gold metal/clasp band with a digital red display of the time. At the time, a digital watch was pretty sweet…or so I thought. If I showed my kids that watch today they would likely go into shock. The watch was too big, and unnecessary–so after a few days of trying to look cool…I gave up.

(2) I knowingly bought a fake Gucci watch on the streets of New York when I was a teen, when a Gucci watch was a thing back then. I wore the heck out of that watch as a fashion statement, even after it stopped telling time quickly into its life.

Since then, I have had zero interest in wearing a watch. I hated the way they felt…like shackles. I was too cheap to buy a decent one with a nice leather band that would be more comfortable, I suppose.

I’m going to get an Apple Watch as quickly as I can. I’ll probably wait a little bit to see if the price comes down a smidge. I’m also working it as part of a possible birthday/anniversary angle. I initially heard $350 for Apple Watch, and thought that was a fairly doable. But the larger faced version, with a nice leather band is $699 + tax + probably the Apple Care protection I would get—so it’s suddenly an $800 decision.

When my wife asks why I need one, it was a less stressful answer at $350 in my mind versus $800+. In addition, I’ve also just paid more in medical bills the past 60 days than I have in 2-3 years combined. My tip to you guys out there: Don’t get a Hydrocele ‘down there’. It ain’t cheap. I also have new, crappy health insurance that makes everything eight-times as complicated as it needs to be. I still have a surgery on it to fund this summer as well.

I tried on an Apple Watch, and got to mess with the functionality Friday at the retail store. It is impressive. The leather band was completely comfortable and lightweight. The display was easier to use than I thought it would be. Using it as a Fit Bit replacement that subtly receives texts, calls, stock alerts that you can pay with at Starbucks or anywhere Apple Pay is at…it is all very sweet. It will be technology none of us of us thinks we need…and 3-5 years from now we cannot live without.

I trust Apple, so I am all in…I’m not worried about 1st-generation stuff. Apple doesn’t have the manufacturing and design gaffes of other companies. And of course, I expect things to get better over time. If I just waited until things were perfected, I wouldn’t have an iPhone…or anything. I’m sure the iPhone 7 is going to be better than my 6…but I could not love a phone more than my 6. I loved my 4 at the time…now, after using the 6, when I touch a 4 it seems barbaric.

If you are an early adopter, and get your Apple Watch quickly—let me know how you like it. I need more ammo in my mind to pull the trigger faster, or a quick stroke of good financial blessing. Anyone wanting to get me one as a gift…I’ll give you my number, and you can text me anytime for Fantasy Football advice or conversation any time for the next couple of years…and then you might be expected to come through with the next gen one to keep our deal going!

Good luck with your Apple or regular watch, and good luck in PTD today.

 

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics.com, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics.com. He is also a lead writer for ‘Play The Draft.com’. His group also provides player projections for Advanced Sports Logic’s football software “The Machine.” See “The Machine” here: The Machine via FFM

 **If you enjoy the free content on Fantasy Football Metrics.com please consider making your next Amazon purchase through our website/link partnership with Amazon. You’re going to buy something at Amazon anyway, there is no extra charge — help give us a little love! Feel free to save/bookmark this link in your favorites and you will have it for all future Amazon purchases. Thanks for your consideration! Link — Amazon.com: Online Shopping for Electronics, Apparel, Computers, Books, DVDs & more **

 

 

 

Play The Draft® Market Analysis Saturday, April 11, 2015

Twitter @FFMetrics

Play The Draft Saturday 4-11-15 analysis (link)PTD 4-11-15 report

The early release of my PTD daily report will show in link form here, and the long form publish is showing on CFM/College Football Metrics. Our web people want to do it that way for a while for reasons I’m not smart enough to understand. 

Tomorrow, I will share my Apple Watch preview experience from my Friday event. It may even be the theme of my Sunday PTD article as well. 

Good Luck with your PTD moves…and thank you Kevin White for killing my portfolio over night…

 

Fantasy Football Metrics

HOME       CONTACT US