*Note — We do not have all the data needed to run our algorithms and statistical analysis for Posey, so this is based on what we do have…
Ohio State WR DeVier Posey has had his name pop-up as a possibility for the NFL’s 2011 Supplemental Draft, due to his 2011 suspension (five games) over the well-publicized tattoo incidents. After looking at our preliminary data, it would probably be best for Posey to stay in college as long as he can.
Posey is a solid college WR, but nothing in our statistical and historical analysis of college WRs shows that Posey is going to be relevant in the NFL.
DeVier Posey’s On-field Performance Metrics:
Posey has been steady for OSU, with 53 receptions and 848 yards along with 7 TDs last season. When we analyze Posey’s on-field performance in terms of relative to the offense he played in, and relative to strength-of-opponents faced – his performance metrics in our system fades toward unimpressive compared to other successful college-to-pro WRs in our database. The summation of his college numbers in all the ways that we look at them — all point toward a nice college WR, and not a future impact player in the NFL.
In Posey’s toughest games (by opponent) in 2010, he had only a high of 5 catches in a game (and that was against Michigan, and the Wolverines were not that tough defensively in 2010). Posey was not a go-to WR at Ohio State, just a nice complimentary one…it would appear on paper.
DeVier Posey’s Physical Measurables:
Physically, Posey doesn’t really possess a lot of key qualities translating to the NFL. Posey is measuring at 6’1 and around 200 pounds…when looking at him on tape, he looks a little under-sized with a smaller/skinnier frame. For what we have on Posey’s measurables coming out of high school, he didn’t measure as overly fast or agile, and had a very under-whelming vertical. There is not a thing that we’ve seen physically so far to get excited about on Posey’s translation to the NFL.
DeVier Posey on film…
Studying some tape on Posey, I didn’t see anything that made me jump out of my seat. A lot of wide-open catches and runs, but I don’t think that was from a result of Posey’s immense ability to separate from defenders…it’s seemed more Posey was not much concentrated on by opposing defenses, and every so often Posey found a gap or flew 20-yards ahead of DBs cheating up to play Terrelle Pryor on the run. The numbers say it, as does the tape…Posey is a nice/solid college WR — but does not equal a great translation to success at the NFL level.
The NFL WR that DeVier Posey most compares with…
Posey appears to be a little too slow and un-agile to be an affective slot type WR at the NFL level, and is also under-sized to be a “big WR” threat at 6’1, especially given what looks like a limited vertical leap. Punching Posey’s performance metrics and physical attributes into our system, the WR he most aligns with in our system is a taller version of Tampa Bay’s Sammie Stroughter (at best). Actually, his more exact match was 2006 WR class, TCU WR Cory Rodgers…but I figured we all didn’t really know who that was (at least I don’t)…which probably makes the best statement on Posey for us right now.
DeVier Posey’s Outlook in the 2011 NFL Supplemental Draft
I would be shocked if Posey declared, and then I would be doubly-shocked if an NFL team actually burned a draft pick on him (from what we can see in our semi-limited view). There are plenty of undrafted free-agent WRs available that are similar or have some unique items that make them worth the gamble…I don’t see the uniqueness in Posey to motivate me to acquire him.
Posey’s 2011 Dynasty League Rookie Draft Outlook (if eligible):
I would not use a Dynasty draft pick on Posey based on what I’ve seen so far. You are not looking at a difference making WR here. There is a ton of other unheralded and/or undrafted prospects with much greater attributes and performances, that make Posey pale by comparison. We would rate him around the 30-40th best WR among the 2011 WR class; had he been in the 2011 NFL Draft.
We have looked at Daniel “Boom” Herron, Terrelle Pryor, Caleb King and Michael Floyd previously for the 2011 NFL Supplemental Draft…and we can see something in each that would be of interest to NFL teams for various reasons, or if even just one attribute of some interest/intrique…but on Posey, we don’t really see anything that moves us.