Let’s Talk About What “The Machine” Can Do in ‘Keeper’ Leagues…

College Football Metrics.com subscribers: There is still time to get 50% off the 2014 version of “The Machine” for Dynasty-Keeper Leagues. Details and link to the savings at the bottom of this email.

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“The Machine” Keeper info/discussions:

RC: Can The Machine analyze keepers from the perspective of evaluating pick level you will have to yield?

JOSH: Absolutely.  The Machine simulates your entire draft, and figures out what your draft picks, and players at those picks are worth.  As well as each of the players on any of the other teams.  This means if you have extra keepers (or not enough) The Machine can find a trading partner for me to either get another keeper, or trade one of my extras away.

RC: I could go on typing and asking questions, but it’s probably best for you to sit back and marvel at what “The Machine” can do with Keeper League analysis. Remember, you get this Keeper analysis tool + all the other analysis items pre and in-season.

Here is Josh on YouTube doing a Keeper demo of “The Machine“: 

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In 2013, Advanced Sports Logic (ASL) asked Fantasy Football Metrics (FFM) to be a data provider, and lawfully wedded wife, for their innovative Fantasy Football management tool called “The Machine.”

Once I started messing with “The Machine’s” capabilities, I was sold. I’ve often said, “I was going to build the next great Fantasy Football management e-tool…then I tried “The Machine,” and I threw my design notebook away because they beat me to the punch.”

Last season, we provided player projections for drafting and in-season weekly/rest of season projections. 2013 was a great success for FFM partnering with “The Machine.”

2014 gets even better, as we are now providing three-year projections for Dynasty Team usage. Dynasty players now have Fantasy Football Metrics data to use all year for managing teams now and in the future. Keeper suggestions, trade analysis with a long-term viewpoint, sit/start in-season, etc. FFM and the Machine are joined at the hip.

It’s not just FFM’s data. You can compare, custom blend, and use the data projections provided by Pro Football Focus and/or Fantasy Sharks. You’ll probably go 100% FFM, but I’m just sayin’….

My favorite capabilities of “The Machine”:

– Just doing a draft with “The Machine,” and watching the win-probability numbers move after every team’s selection, plus the ever-changing projected next-best pick recommendations are worth the price of admission (see a great demo on YouTube). If you used “The Machine” for nothing but your draft, then you got your money’s worth.

To have a technology computing the relative value of available players based upon what has been drafted to that point, and giving you the top player remaining recommendations to consider has saved my rear more than once. Drafting with a paper list and crossing off names is a thing of the past. You make all the final decisions, but “The Machine” is your e-assistant ‘whispering’ in your ear throughout.

– Scoring system intricacies! Our FFM information is usually given in terms of standard or PPR, because they are the most popular, but there are several other variations to consider…it would take all day for us to calc and consider all of them in articles or emails. “The Machine” is customize-able with a ton of crazy scoring options to fit your needs.

– “The Machine” attaches itself to your league platform online, and downloads all the system and league details for you. You just sit back and let “The Machine” read your league, and set you up going forward. It also makes changes as other teams change-drop-trade-bench players, etc. “The Machine” is working for you by reading, interpreting, and mathematically deducing moves to consider.

There are a ton of other awesome options, and I plan to comment on them over the next few days. Stay tuned for my interview with ASL’s Josh Rabbitt on Frequently Asked Questions and situations. These questions and answers will be of interest for both Dynasty users, and those who will use for redrafts coming up.

This Dynasty deal will be a limited-time offer…good until Draft Day 2014 (May 8th). The 50% link, which knocks the 2014 price from $24.95 to $12.48, is now available on most all the positional tabs within College Football Metrics. Here it is directly: 

http://www.metricsfootballmedia.com/cfmsubscriber/2014/ASL_Dynasty_50.html

Posted in In the Media | Leave a comment

My lengthy theory on how Tom Savage could/will be the top QB taken on Draft Day…

Twitter @FFMetrics

*I originally wrote this for “Play The Draft’s” website, and you can see the full content there (which has commentary on PTD values, other prospects, etc., for those playing the PTD game. There is still plenty of time to join the Fantasy Football Metrics contest on PTD. Use the following link:   http://bit.ly/1jwjfrF). 

The version below has some new content/wordage added:

 

I believe that Tom Savage is going to go in the 1st-round of the 2014 NFL Draft now. I also see a path where could be the top QB taken overall. I do not say that for shock value. I do not say that as a proponent of Savage (which I am). I make this claim because I think I see the events lining up that are going to make this happen, and it’s a pattern we’ve seen recently.

The scouting case of Tom Savage is a curious one, and is one that is near and dear to my heart. In January 2014, we completed our research on Savage (full report available at College Football Metrics.com) and determined he was a top-3 QB prospect for this draft, and arguably the best QB in this draft. At the time, NO ONE else was seeing this. Savage was routinely ranked outside everyone’s top-15 QBs for the 2014 NFL Draft in January. Once we released our report, within a few days, Savage was moving near the top-10 of QB prospects, but he had not caught full fire.

In February-March, a domino effect occurred with Savage. When we stated a case for Savage as possibly the best QB prospect in the draft, some key personnel evaluators decided to take a second look based on conversations I had. NFL personnel departments hope to keep things like this quiet, but people talk/leak scouting within the NFL, and the next thing you know Tom Savage momentum hit the media radar in March-April. He has gone from a potential undrafted free agent, to a few months later as a prospect that now sees several Mock Draft projections as the first pick in the 2nd-round to the Texans.

Recent draft analyst’s projections of Savage as the first pick in the 2nd-round is a bit of a ‘cop out’…or weak-kneed trepidation…they haven’t gone as far with Savage as they’ll need to. Heck, some analysts still haven’t moved Savage on their board since January. You see…prospect stories do not normally go like this. The draft media has to be torn here.

The draft media drum has been banged over and over and over and over and over and over that this draft is all about Manziel-Bortles-Bridgewater. The scouting ‘gods’ had looked at all the evidence, and anointed Manziel-Bortles-Bridgewater…and thus everyone parroted the same in the media. All the draft stories in print, TV, and radio surrounded ‘Johnny Football’ or the pro readiness of Blake Bortles or the most NFL ready passer Teddy Bridgewater. Tom Savage might as well not have existed at the time.

Now, the media has been caught with its pants down (and some have yet to realize it). If they start pushing the Savage story/reality harder, it shockingly reveals that NO ONE in the mainstream scouting saw this coming. It is a major, major, major scouting miss. One could ask, and I will ask, “What were they looking at when they missed Tom Savage completely?” Everyone in the draft ‘game’ who began their rankings and ratings with Savage outside their top-15 QBs in January/February will wake up in May 2014 to see him go in the top-40 for the NFL Draft overall; how will they reconcile the huge scouting miss?

However, if draft analysts just ignore this as ‘hype’, and they don’t get on board with Savage’s rapid prospect rise quickly, their Mock Drafts are going to be ancient and out of touch as Savage goes much higher than they are projecting. If the big-name national draft experts are now moving Savage up, the rest of the echo chamber will have to follow…or be perceived as way out of touch.

The reality is: Tom Savage could go as the top QB in this draft. Here is how that could/will occur…

Savage has five main competitors for top QB taken in 2014: Manziel, Bortles, Bridgewater, Carr, and Garoppolo. Regardless of whether you or I think any of these guys is a ‘franchise’ QB, or we discount them as “not as good as Andrew Luck, but good” type of prospects. No matter how we poke holes in their NFL prospectus, one thing is for sure: The QB position means everything in the NFL…EVERYTHING! The QB ‘makes’ franchises…it saves jobs…it makes people ‘geniuses’ (or unemployed). On purpose, Seattle pursued Charlie Whitehurst, Tavaris Jackson, and Matt Flynn before Russell Wilson fell to earth from the planet Krypton, and changed management’s destiny. Where would Denver be today led by their former 1st-round pick Tim Tebow? QBs are going to be taken higher in the 2014 NFL Draft because they mean everything. Of those top six QB names for 2014, I could see 3-6 of them going in the first round…whether deserved to or not.

Teddy Bridgewater had his Survivor torch partially extinguished after his Pro Day, but then once his poor Wonderlic scores hit, and a monsoon descended on his flickering flame. Bridgewater was supposed to be the most pro ready QB available to teams in 2014…like it or not. Bridgewater has pretty much taken himself out of the discussion as top QB…and he may wind up as the 6th taken of the six.

Johnny Manziel has all the media circus, which hides the very real character/’face of the franchise’ questions teams are going to have. No doubt, some NFL team is going be more dazzled by his scrambling around, and discount the off-field stuff. Some NFL team, I think Dallas, will make this move mid-1st-round, but they will not need to make the pick in the top 5-10. Manziel is going to fall because most teams are not interested…they do not want their futures tied to him.

Blake Bortles is really the key to my “Savage as top QB taken” theory. Bridgewater has tanked; deservedly or not. Manziel has red-flags all over. Both Bridgewater and Manziel are physically smaller QBs, not ‘prototypical’ in overall size. It is easy to see injury risk with Manziel-Bridgewater. Because of the fear of Manziel-Bridgewater, the proposed alternative all along is the physically bigger Blake Bortles. It’s easy to hate Manziel-Bridgewater, so all you have left in the mainstream is a Bortles ‘Plan C’. The Bortles theory was: “Nice size, not a polished passer, could be groomed, but he’s more prototypical.” No one was excited by Bortles; they were just looking for a non-Manziel-Bridgewater option.

Guess what? Tom Savage has nice size too. Guess what else? He is a more accomplished passer than Blake Bortles on Bortles best day. I have watched the tape. There are moments of total brilliance with Savage as pocket passer. With Bortles, you have the time he ran for a lot of yards in a Bowl game. Savage v. Bortles, as pocket passers, is no contest.

Savage is the best deep ball thrower in this class…I said that in January 2014, and now others are hinting at it. Savage is not perfect, and ready to be a star day-one in the NFL (what QB is?), but that was always the scouting caveat with Bortles: ”…not ready, needs to be groomed.” When you really look at the tape, you want to do your grooming with Savage, not Bortles. Under the “needs to be groomed” theory, Savage is a far superior NFL prospect than Bortles, and I think most NFL teams know that now.

Derek Carr has always been a step behind Manziel-Bridgewater-Bortles hype. If you insert Savage past Bortles, then Carr is behind Manziel-Bridgewater-Savage. Carr is just not as talented as Savage. Carr is decent and crafty. He was the default mode for those not buying Bortles either. Savage has come along to save the day from teams having to settle for Carr.

Jimmy Garoppolo is the X-factor. I think several NFL teams were holding Garoppolo as their non Manziel-Bridgewater-Bortles ‘ace in the hole’. Garoppolo looks like Aaron Rodgers on tape, but he also played a far inferior class of opponent in college, and does not have the prototypical size you’d love (like Rodgers). There are times I watch Garoppolo and think he is the most talented passing QB in this class. He has a rapid release with nice velocity, with great decision making. Every time I see Garoppolo play, he just aggressively takes it at the opposition…whether against FCS foes, or at the Senior Bowl, or the NFLPA all-star game he snuck into. I like him, and I think many NFL teams do too, but he’s no sure thing either.

When an NFL team does the addition by subtraction realization that Manziel-Bridgewater-Bortles is not what they want. All that is left is Carr-Garoppolo-Savage. Tom Savage is the physically bigger, top pocket passing prospect in this draft. He is the true alternative to Manziel-Bridgewater-Bortles.

Just because teams see Savage as the top QB prospect now, doesn’t mean he will go as the #1 QB overall. However, I see the path where he will do just that.

Many teams wanted to keep Savage a secret, but the ‘cats out of the bag’. If teams thought they could get Savage in the 2nd-round, they will have to think again. Savage has become a hot ‘stock’ that teams will have to chase ahead of the competition for. He is going to be many war rooms’ #1 QB. They will plan and scheme for the next few weeks on when to take him. Rumors will fly. Panic will set in. Remember when the Titans shocked many by taking Jake Locker with their #8 pick. Up to that point, Locker was seen as a late 1st or early 2nd-round pick. Jake Locker, on his best day, is not as good as Tom Savage. Who saw E.J. Manuel as the only QB in the 1st-round last year? E.J. Manuel is nowhere near as good a pro prospect as Tom Savage.

There has been more and more shock (and outrage) by QBs taken earlier than experts foretold, so there is a precedent (Locker, Weeden, Manuel, Ponder come to mind)

Savage is not an ‘it’ QB today because there is always a cute ‘it’ prospect that people need to talk about later in the draft process out of boredom with the other over-saturated QB names. Savage is the ‘it’ QB right now because he is legitimately in the argument for the best QB in this draft. The path exists where he could be the first QB off the board on draft day. 

If/when it happens…will anyone ask the football scouting ‘gods’ why they did not see this prior to April 2014? 

You should be asking it already…

tags — 2014 NFL Draft Tom Savage dynasty rookie mock draft 2014

 

 

Posted in 2014 NFL Draft, QB | Leave a comment

Terrelle Pryor to Seattle, I stand corrected…

…some team did trade for Terrelle Pryor. Kudos to the Raiders. 

Sometimes, NFL personnel departments get too cute with trying to land ‘athletes’, and romantically think they will be the ones to “fix them.” Worse things have happened than yielding a 7th-round pick for Pryor. If this is an attempt by Seattle to make Pryor a WR, then I guess it makes some sense. I’m just not a “Pryor on my team” kinda guy, whether as QB, WR or Kicker. 

If this is a move to keep Pryor as a backup QB, then I never will understand the NFL. It will also cement that the only franchise that could be on a worse roll than Oakland in actively trying to find a QB is Seattle. They rolled dice on Russell Wilson, and won…and made them all look like geniuses. It’s a credit to them. However, lest we not forget that the current management team purposefully pursued, and landed, and yielded picks and cash, and were breath-takingly burned by the recent acquisitions of Tavaris Jackson, Charlie Whitehurst, Matt Flynn, and now Terrelle Pryor (if this is a QB move). They will not be known as slight misses…they will be horrific readings of the QB tea leaves. 

QB means everything in this league, and teams are trading for Terrelle Pryor, Colt McCoy, and Blaine Gabbert (among others). I will never understand why NFL teams do not look at the QB position as the ultimate business decision, and stockpile, stockpile, stockpile viable QB prospects. 

Posted in Oakland Raiders, QB, Seattle Seahawks | Leave a comment

Do You Love The NFL Draft? Then You’re Gonna Love This: “Play The Draft”

A couple of weeks ago, I stumbled onto a website called, “Play The Draft,” and I was mesmerized…

I saw NFL Draft prospect names floating across the board like on a Wall Street Stock Ticker complete with dollars, percentages, green and red direction signals, and price change info. I love the NFL Draft, and I love the Stock Market…so I was instantly reeled in. 

Play The Draft” is a FREE game, developed by a couple of entrepreneurs, where you trade NFL Draft prospects like stocks. The individual player prices/values change based on all the latest data from the football headlines to all the Mock Drafts. Prospect pricing is given in terms of dollars based on their current projected draft day pick level. The individual prospect prices and their FRX (projected overall pick in the draft) changes every night (one time per day) based on latest headlines and mock drafts, etc–like daily stock movement on the Dow Jones would. *You do not need to know anything in-depth about the stock market to play this game.

Your mission is to ‘trade’ NFL Draft prospects as often as you want, to try to ‘earn’ the most money. You begin with a $12M faux-budget, and you start buying prospects as you see fit. Obviously, the higher rated the prospect, the more the cost to buy and vice-versa. Prices change every day based national news, but they will officially adjust when the players actually get drafted. You are trying to play current and future public sentiment, national news, and also predict which prospects will be actual ‘draft day bargains’ based on where they are finally picked.

You only need provide your email, and then set up a user name and password to open your account for the season. It takes about 30-seconds to get rolling.

Fantasy Football Metrics.com is running a FREE public league contest (sign up link below) on “Play The Draft.” Click the link, choose your own username and password, and then you’re officially entered! It’s that simple.

The person that has the most money in their account at the end of the 2014 NFL Draft in our FFM-contest on PTD will win the following:

1) A one-hour Fantasy Football consultation with me (R.C.) at the time of your choosing (mutually agreed upon) in the 2014 pre-season. It can be via phone, email, instant chat. We can discuss Dynasty roster evaluations, redraft prep for your upcoming draft, or just general football discussions…it’s your hour.

2) A free license, of your choosing, from the best Fantasy Football team management e-tool in the known universe, Advanced Sports Logic’s “The Machine.” There is a Dynasty/Keeper version and a Re-draft version available (See Advanced Sports Logic.com for all their options). Some of you have a “The Machine” 2014 license already, so you can use your victory in the FFM-league to add an additional league license…or give away as a gift.

Those who just added “The Machine” for Dynasty through the College Football Metrics 50% off promo, if you win, we’ll refund your money from that promo purchase!

Starting earlier is better than later, but this is not an easy game. Staying above ‘even’ has been a bit of a challenge…for me anyway (and a lot of others). Those of you that may catch this message in a day or two, and start their trading 2-3-4+ days from now, you may not be at a handicap at all.

I really enjoy the simple pleasures of trading NFL Draft prospects like stocks on “Play The Draft.” I check my account about first thing every morning. It’s a fun, simple, free diversion that gets you hooked quickly…at least it did me. If you want to take a spin…sign up for our totally free FFM-public league. I’d say, “See if you can beat me” as a challenge, but I’m struggling to get above break-even…so you may be beating me the moment you your account is activated, before you trade your first prospect.

Enjoy! Good Luck

Sign up link below:

http://playthedraft.com/leagues/fantasy-football-metrics-com-open-league/join

Posted in 2014 NFL Draft, In the Media | Leave a comment

Terrelle Pryor About To Be Ditched…

Twitter @FFMetrics

Anyone who took my 2012 Dynasty advice to stow Terrelle Pryor for the devious game plan to flip him the moment in 2013 that he got close to being named/was named/had one promising moment as the Raiders’ starting QB…your emails of ‘Thank you, R.C.’ are always appreciated. I’d love to hear how you suckered someone with Pryor at the market peak in FF-2013…whether planned months ahead in Dynasty, or in-season in a redraft pickup and flip (and burn) off our advice. 

Those who got cold-feet on that theory when Pryor had a nice little 2-3 Fantasy game run of points, and then held your Pryor-cards longer only to see his value evaporate right before your very eyes….well, you will be forgiven if you ask for it. I am a merciful football scouting ‘god’. 

After a quick Raiders-bashing hiatus, I saw the “Terrelle Pryor to be cut” headline today…and that set me off again to think about the Raiders’ personnel department, and all their ‘moves’ of late.

Please hear me Raiders-fan; I mean you no harm. I’m here to liberate you. I am not anti-Raiders. I am not anti-any team. I am anti-bad management. I am appalled and marvel all at the same time at how poorly some/many NFL teams are run. You, Raiders-fan, pay the price with a love that goes unrequited year-after-year.

The first step toward recovery is admitting there is a problem. The problem is that the Raiders are so beyond poorly run it is stomach turning…from the view of an objective outsider. In a league where QB means everything, here are the Raiders’ recent desperate search attempts to find a franchise QB:

 – (2011) The ill-fated trade for Carson Palmer in exchange for a 1st-round pick in 2012, and a 2nd-round pick in 2013. Spolier Alert: Those were great picks because of the Raiders’ record each year.

 – (2012) The waste of a supplemental draft pick on Terrelle Pryor, who is now on the verge of being cut by the Raiders. The Raiders are trying to trade him…but only the Raiders think he would have trade value whatsoever. 

I guess, the Raiders could try to trade Pryor to themselves, but they’ve wasted so many draft picks chasing QBs of late, that they probably have none left to give themselves in exchange for acquiring Pryor from themselves. 

 – (2013) The trade for Matt Flynn in exchange for a 5th-round pick in 2014, and a conditional pick in 2015. Seattle had to be laughing it’s A off.

 – (2013) The Raiders looked over the vast universe of mid-draft QB prospects to take a risk on, and snatched up Tyler Wilson…and he was such a delight that the Raiders cut him before the season started (a rarity with drafted players to be cut the same year they are taken).

 – (2014) Because Oakland has supposedly been “playing for 2014,” and was now ready to make a splash in free agency, but then no one really wanted to go there….desperation hit hyper-drive.

In sheer panic, a la the Carson Palmer screw-job trade, the Raiders recently yielded a 6th-round pick for Matt Schaub. The pick is not the egregious part. It’s the assuming of millions of dollars of salary for a player who was likely to just be cut.

The Raiders had to trade for Schaub, because a released-freely Schaub could go anywhere…and he probably wouldn’t go to the Raiders by choice (he would have went to be the Ravens backup). He is forced to now….err, I mean he really loves what he sees in Oakland. He’s happy to be there.

Four years of QB wreckage…plus lost draft picks…and still no answer at QB, really? If your track record at your job was like this, you would be demoted, reassigned, or terminated. However, Raiders-fan more likely doubles-down on the love for all these off-season moves, and applauds their GM and Owner.

The management structure that brought on this vast wasteland is now going to fix it. Good Luck with all that. They say finding/drafting a QB is a 50/50 proposition…a deep mystery. Exactly, how many coin flips are the Raiders going to call wrong?

Have you ever heard a story where Oakland was going to work out Terrelle Pryor as a WR? Nahh, who could foresee a 6’5”+, 4.4+ runner, great overall athlete with a nice vertical as a possible WR option. 

Again, I say…if/when all these 2014 Raiders moves topple Peyton and the Broncos in the AFC West this year, I will apologize and take it all back, and delete any record of these anti-Raiders commentaries. Anyone think I’ll be burning those calories in December/January?

**See the NFL Draft, and the Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports. Also, see our on-target projections of Terrelle Pryor and Tyler Wilson as NFL QBs…before it happened. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

Posted in Oakland Raiders, QB | Leave a comment

FAQ’s about “The Machine” (1.0)…

College Football Metrics Subscribers are currently enjoying 50% off the Dynasty version of the best Fantasy Football team management tool: Advanced Sports Logic’s (ASL) “The Machine.” 

Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics are now providing offensive player projections during the Fantasy Football season, as well as three-year future projections on players for the Dynasty version of “The Machine.”

Redraft Fantasy GMs, you might be interested in some of the “The Machine” info pieces over the next few days for when it’s time to crank up the FF-band in a few months…

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In order to understand “The Machine-Dynasty” better, I asked ASL’s Josh Rabbitt a few questions. Josh not only handles customer inquiries, but he also regularly participates in 50+ Dynasty Leagues at any given time…so he is well versed to speak to features and functionality of “The Machine.”

I asked several questions, and I will posting the Q&A in pieces here (below), and on our blogs over the next few days… 

RC: How many Dynasty leagues did you play this past season? How many did you make the playoffs in, and how many did you win the title outright? 

JOSH: Assuming my spreadsheet is right, only 55 dynasty leagues this past year. I made the playoffs in 37, but only came away with 7 titles this year…down from prior year. I do not expect Jamal Charles to blow me out of so many playoff games again next year. I will never forgive him for it!

RC: What do you think are biggest advantages to using “The Machine” Dynasty version in the off-season? What feature do you find yourself using the most in the off-season?

JOSH: The trade evaluation tools are my biggest use of “The Machine” by far in the off-season. Since I am working with projections from the experts, I am able to sell high on the hype of certain players, and buy low on the guys whom our providers are projecting to have better than expected seasons. Once the NFL draft occurs, “The Machine” is also able to evaluate your rookie draft picks values for both trades, and drafting. This sends the power level of “The Machine” through the roof. Who else can tell you what exactly a future 5th pick in the second round is worth? 

**In our next FAQ post we will discuss how “The Machine” deals with Keeper leagues and evaluating Keeper situations.**

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ORIGINAL POST, from a few days ago…

In 2013, Advanced Sports Logic (ASL) asked Fantasy Football Metrics (FFM) to be a data provider, and lawfully wedded wife, for their innovative Fantasy Football management tool called “The Machine.”

Once I started messing with “The Machine’s” capabilities, I was sold. I’ve often said, “I was going to build the next great Fantasy Football management e-tool…then I tried “The Machine,” and I threw my design notebook away because they beat me to the punch.”

Last season, we provided player projections for drafting and in-season weekly/rest of season projections. 2013 was a great success for FFM partnering with “The Machine.”

2014 gets even better, as we are now providing three-year projections for Dynasty Team usage. Dynasty players now have Fantasy Football Metrics data to use all year for managing teams now and in the future. Keeper suggestions, trade analysis with a long-term viewpoint, sit/start in-season, etc. FFM and the Machine are joined at the hip.

It’s not just FFM’s data. You can compare, custom blend, and use the data projections provided by Pro Football Focus and/or Fantasy Sharks. You’ll probably go 100% FFM, but I’m just sayin’….

My favorite capabilities of “The Machine”:

– Just doing a draft with “The Machine,” and watching the win-probability numbers move after every team’s selection, plus the ever-changing projected next-best pick recommendations are worth the price of admission (see a great demo on YouTube). If you used “The Machine” for nothing but your draft, then you got your money’s worth.

To have a technology computing the relative value of available players based upon what has been drafted to that point, and giving you the top player remaining recommendations to consider has saved my rear more than once. Drafting with a paper list and crossing off names is a thing of the past. You make all the final decisions, but “The Machine” is your e-assistant ‘whispering’ in your ear throughout.

– Scoring system intricacies! Our FFM information is usually given in terms of standard or PPR, because they are the most popular, but there are several other variations to consider…it would take all day for us to calc and consider all of them in articles or emails. “The Machine” is customize-able with a ton of crazy scoring options to fit your needs.

– “The Machine” attaches itself to your league platform online, and downloads all the system and league details for you. You just sit back and let “The Machine” read your league, and set you up going forward. It also makes changes as other teams change-drop-trade-bench players, etc. “The Machine” is working for you by reading, interpreting, and mathematically deducing moves to consider.

There are a ton of other awesome options, and I plan to comment on them over the next few days. Stay tuned for my interview with ASL’s Josh Rabbitt on Frequently Asked Questions and situations. These questions and answers will be of interest for both Dynasty users, and those who will use for redrafts coming up.

This Dynasty deal will be a limited-time offer…good until Draft Day 2014 (May 8th). The 50% link, which knocks the 2014 price from $24.95 to $12.48, is now available on most all the positional tabs within College Football Metrics. Here it is directly: 

http://www.metricsfootballmedia.com/cfmsubscriber/2014/ASL_Dynasty_50.html

Posted in In the Media | Leave a comment

What I was scouting on Good Friday…

It’s a slow weekend for football news, and a great weekend for Easter celebrations…so who cares about Fantasy Football right now anyway?

With my kids off of school on Good Friday, we used the opportunity to do something we had all been dying to do. They only appropriate way to celebrate the day. We finally went to Taco Bell to try their new breakfast items!

Now, if you are not a fan of Fast Food, then there is nothing here that is going to appeal to you to begin with…so avert your eyes, and stomach. However, if you are a junk food connoisseur, like myself, then you were no doubt intrigued by the mixing of a waffle based taco holding your entire breakfast contents. For those that haven’t given it a whirl, here is my scouting report on the four items we tried:

The item I enjoyed the most was the Breakfast Taco. We tried them two ways: One with Sausage, the other with bacon. Picture a toaster waffle (but softer) ‘taco shell’ holding chopped bacon (or sausage patty), scrambled eggs, and cheese. It was just OK on the first bite. However, and this is the key…you get syrup to dip it in. Once we started using the syrup enhancement…then it went from OK-to-good. Not great, just good to good-ish to edible.

I can warn you of this…if you get the Breakfast Taco to go, beware of that travel time. That soft waffle taco becomes tougher and chewier the longer it sits.

The  ’can’t miss’ item was the Cinnabon bites. Mini-donut hole-like pastry covered in a cinnamon and sugar, and filled with a sweet crème filling. They are served warm, and are not bad. I’d eat Formica if you rolled it in cinnamon and brown sugar, and filled it with sweet crème, so I probably have a bias here.

The worst item, but was the one I thought I’d love, was the AM Crunchwrap. There were too many things going on at once here for it to be any good for me. The concept was great (again, saying ‘great’ as a junk food-lover), stick your scrambled eggs, sausage, cheese and HASH BROWN all in one bundle of joy, but then wrap it in a tortilla and toast it. How could this go wrong? I am a big fan of the McDonald’s Sausage, Egg, and Cheese biscuit with my twist of sticking half a hash brown in there as another layer…and it is delightful. So the AM Crunchwrap should be awesome, right?

Wrong.

This ensemble cast does not work. I like meatloaf. I like vanilla ice cream. Do not take them both and put them in a tortilla, pour a Starbucks White Mocha Latte over it and expect me to fall for it. Individually, I like all those items, but it is torture when served all together. That’s the AM Crunchwrap…kinda breakfast torture. 

That toasted tortilla shell is the real taste killer I think. It’s just not a great breakfast item. I can do a soft shell tortilla holding breakfast items, but I don’t love it…I’d rather have a biscuit, pancake, or waffle taco. Toast up the tortilla to contain an entire breakfast, and it is a starch overload. The tortilla is too dominant a player on this ‘team breakfast’ concept.

All in and all, I give the new Taco Bell breakfast a ‘C’, at best. It wasn’t awful, but when traveling with the clan this summer vacation season, and we have the McDonalds vs. Burger King vs. Taco Bell breakfast options presented…The Bell is going to be the third pick in the three-option breakfast draft.

Enjoy your holiday weekend!

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With Chris Johnson gone…

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Knowing all along they were ditching Chris Johnson, the Titans have done jack squat for adding RBs in 2014 free agency.

RBs are such a bargain now, and there are so many that the Titans could have paired with remaining RB Shonn Greene. Andre Brown, Ben Tate, etc. all were part of the bargains.

There were two, known DEEP talent pools for personnel departments: (1) 2014 NFL Draft WR prospects, and (2) 2014 NFL Free Agent RBs. Tennessee, decided to spit in the face of those economics, and do the opposite. They inexplicably signed a wee WR in free agency, and didn’t sign a RB.

In the deepest WR class in the history of mankind, Tennessee spent millions on Dexter McCluster vs. the cheaper-deeper route of taking one in the draft. In a 2014 NFL Draft that is flimsy on top RBs, Tennessee passed on all free agent RBs available (and there were many), and instead are going to pull a needle out of the rookie RB haystack.

I’m all for NOT investing in RBs, and instead adding them cheaper through the draft. However, the Titans backed themselves into a corner of draft or bust for 2014 at RB. The Titans figuratively have a 16 showing, and are taking a ‘hit’, at the blackjack table. If they butcher it, they could be looking at a 2014 offensive arsenal of Jake Locker/Charlie Whitehurst, Ka’Deem Carey (I will never relent if this is who they pick) + Shonn Greene, and Dexter McCluster + Kendall Wright leading the way. Sounds like a pretty hot plan. Season tickets are going like ‘hotcakes’; I’m sure.

I just had to go out to their website to try to buy season tickets. The tag line is “Don’t Miss A Moment.” It features a falling backwards catch by Justin Hunter vs. the Jets. Why not show Hunter’s amazing, last second, jump ball, game-winning catch against San Diego instead? I’m not a Titans fan, but even I remember that from last year (because it cost me money on a bet). Side note: Looking at the ticket section, plenty of good seats still available. The Charlie Whitehurst-Dexter McCluster season ticket bump has tempered a bit, I’m sure, so now’s your chance to get those tickets before they ace the draft.

Laugh all you want, but whomever the Titans’ 2014 NFL Draft RB selection is…he could be a contender for the 1.01 Dynasty Rookie Draft pick in a few weeks. If Bishop Sankey lands there, ‘ka-pow’, the Sammy Watkins lock as the Dynasty #1 overall pick might take a hit. 

**See the NFL Draft, and the Dynasty Rookie Draft, like never before with our Moneyball-style scouting reports. Go to www.collegefootballmetrics.com **

Posted in RB, Tennessee Titans | Leave a comment

Jordan Matthews Play-by-Play…

If you have an interest, and are not on the College Football Metrics site often, then FYI: We have a play by play account of Vanderbilt WR Jordan Matthews‘ targets from a sample of 2013 games.

Why?

We are high on Matthews, higher than any NFL Draft analyst (which is nothing new). There has been a wave of ‘suspect’ hands and ‘drops’ rumblings with Matthews in the draft media. I never saw it the first time around. I decided to sample three SEC games, re-watch every target, and write a blow by blow account of what I saw…and to see if I just overlooked a drops issue with him.

The first two have already posted, then finale’ will be out tomorrow. 

Posted in 2014 NFL Draft, WR | Leave a comment

Advanced Sports Logic’s “The Machine” for 2014 Dynasty Teams: 50% off offer for CFM Customers

In 2013, Advanced Sports Logic (ASL) asked Fantasy Football Metrics (FFM) to be a data provider, and lawfully wedded wife, for their innovative Fantasy Football management tool called “The Machine.”

Once I started messing with “The Machine’s” capabilities, I was sold. I’ve often said, “I was going to build the next great Fantasy Football management e-tool…then I tried “The Machine,” and I threw my design notebook away because they beat me to the punch.”

Last season, we provided player projections for drafting and in-season weekly/rest of season projections. 2013 was a great success for FFM partnering with “The Machine.”

2014 gets even better, as we are now providing three-year projections for Dynasty Team usage. Dynasty players now have Fantasy Football Metrics data to use all year for managing teams now and in the future. Keeper suggestions, trade analysis with a long-term viewpoint, sit/start in-season, etc. FFM and the Machine are joined at the hip.

It’s not just FFM’s data. You can compare, custom blend, and use the data projections provided by Pro Football Focus and/or Fantasy Sharks. You’ll probably go 100% FFM, but I’m just sayin’….

My favorite capabilities of “The Machine”:

– Just doing a draft with “The Machine,” and watching the win-probability numbers move after every team’s selection, plus the ever-changing projected next-best pick recommendations are worth the price of admission (see a great demo on YouTube). If you used “The Machine” for nothing but your draft, then you got your money’s worth.

To have a technology computing the relative value of available players based upon what has been drafted to that point, and giving you the top player remaining recommendations to consider has saved my rear more than once. Drafting with a paper list and crossing off names is a thing of the past. You make all the final decisions, but “The Machine” is your e-assistant ‘whispering’ in your ear throughout.

– Scoring system intricacies! Our FFM information is usually given in terms of standard or PPR, because they are the most popular, but there are several other variations to consider…it would take all day for us to calc and consider all of them in articles or emails. “The Machine” is customize-able with a ton of crazy scoring options to fit your needs.

– “The Machine” attaches itself to your league platform online, and downloads all the system and league details for you. You just sit back and let “The Machine” read your league, and set you up going forward. It also makes changes as other teams change-drop-trade-bench players, etc. “The Machine” is working for you by reading, interpreting, and mathematically deducing moves to consider.

There are a ton of other awesome options, and I plan to comment on them over the next few days. Stay tuned for my interview with ASL’s Josh Rabbitt on Frequently Asked Questions and situations. These questions and answers will be of interest for both Dynasty users, and those who will use for redrafts coming up.

This Dynasty deal will be a limited-time offer…good until Draft Day 2014 (May 8th). The 50% link, which knocks the 2014 price from $24.95 to $12.48, is now available on most all the positional tabs within College Football Metrics. Here it is directly: 

http://www.metricsfootballmedia.com/cfmsubscriber/2014/ASL_Dynasty_50.html

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