"What do I do with Peyton Hillis now?"
A quick blurb/news report broke that the reason that Peyton Hillis sat out in Week-3, was because of his agent telling him he needed to sit out and to not risk further injury. The report also inferred that it was really part of an elaborate excuse to sit out due to an on-going/stalled contract situation with the Browns.
Depending upon which reporting of it that you look at -- some brush it off as a "you know contract squabbles"...or "the coach said everything is fine." Generally speaking, it's reported more as a soap opera-ish type thing.
However, I am not blowing it off...or laughing. I have a bunch of teams with Hillis, and I have moved from concerned to all out nervous/mad.
What started me worrying -- Montario Hardesty with nearly as many targets and carries as Hillis last week. Not only, a high touch count for Hardesty, but he was in at key times of the game...as Hillis sat idly by. Something wasn't right watching that game...it was beyond -- "the Browns got down, and went to more of a passing game." Why wasn't Hillis (i.e. supposedly their best weapon) involved in said passing game...not really involved in the failed comeback effort?
It also then further worried me that whispers came out from players that Hillis sat out two weeks ago due to a unresolved/on-going contract situation with the Browns. Players whispering it, isn't a good thing. The original new break of that possibility, was met with a little "pooh-poohing". Now, Hillis's agent is coming out and saying he told Hillis not play that Week-3 game at Miami.
I could deal with a lot of that he said-she said, but buried in one of the stories I read (and it's not in most of the reported news blurbs)...the current agent for Peyton Hillis, is his 3rd agent in four years. Now I am officially worried.
My facts suddenly add up like this -- new Coach, new GM, Hillis is a giant diva, sat out of a key game with strep throat because his agent told him so, Browns/Head Coach retaliates by limiting Hillis in Week-4. I'm not liking what I am seeing at all. Hillis has one main value to me -- a heavy workload. If Hillis is not going to get a big workload, if this situation is going to get contentious. I don't want to get caught in the middle of it and have my Fantasy Football 2011 season ruined by it, if I can escape now...with Hillis still possibly having decent value.
I don't want to panic-sell Hillis. Not everyone is going to read the story the way that I did, so he may have just taken a slight hit in value for some folks. I either want to take advantage of his value via trade now, or take advantage of it off his next nice game. If I can make a fairly even exchange of RBs, I'd do it.
I am willing to deal him off his next nice game -- the Browns season is likely to head down the tubes over the upcoming few weeks, further reducing the need to overwork Hillis. In Weeks 8-9, Hillis faces SF-HOU, which neither is a great matchup. In Weeks 12-16, Hillis gets CIN-BAL-PIT-ARI-BAL. I don't really want Hillis down the stretch as it is, but now add all these extraneous factors...and I gotta move on quick before I am left with a dud of a Fantasy Football RB.
If you are banking on Hillis as your main RB, and are thin at RB as it is...you have to take measures to squat on some upstart RBs in case the Hillis thing goes south on you. Better yet, make a fairly even swap with someone if it all possible...but that ship is sailing fast. The last strategy is hold now, and deal off the next big game -- which is likely with OAK-SEA upcoming after the BYE week.
It's a shame to have to deal with this now, but we have to -- if you are Hillis-dependent...you have an issue to deal with. An issue that may change your entire season's fortunes if not dealt with quickly.
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